External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The 1.4 GHz spectrum opening for 5G FWA may disrupt mobile economics, with an estimated effective cost per GB ~14× below mobile.</li><li>Recent media reports suggest the 1.4 GHz spectrum fee may come in lower, easing cost pressures and enabling low-priced FWA plans.</li><li>Mobile faces risk, but open access could be a game changer; Maintain OW on 2H25 recovery from price repair and industry consolidation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The 1.4 GHz spectrum opening for 5G FWA may disrupt mobile economics, with an estimated effective cost per GB ~14× below mobile.Recent media reports suggest the 1.4 GHz spectrum fee may come in lower, easing cost pressures and enabling low-priced FWA plans.Mobile faces risk, but open access could be a game changer; Maintain OW on 2H25 recovery from price repair and industry consolidation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco: 1.4 GHz Spectrum Auction Nears; 5G FWA Could Reshape Industry Dynamics (OVERWEIGHT)

<ul><li>Our Sep25 price tracker indicates that Tsel and IOH offered lower yields in their promotional packages, which are typically limited-time offers.</li><li>Tsel leadsin product simplification with a reduction in sachet plans; IOH has started introducing 5G plans while XL has shifted to shorter validity.</li><li>We maintain OW on the sector; although yield pressure poses a ST risk, it is concentrated in Hot Sale packages, hence, seems more tactical.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our Sep25 price tracker indicates that Tsel and IOH offered lower yields in their promotional packages, which are typically limited-time offers.Tsel leadsin product simplification with a reduction in sachet plans; IOH has started introducing 5G plans while XL has shifted to shorter validity.We maintain OW on the sector; although yield pressure poses a ST risk, it is concentrated in Hot Sale packages, hence, seems more tactical.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco: Sep25 Price Tracker: Promotional ST Drag on Yields (OVERWEIGHT)

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>JCI rallied by a strong 4.8% w-w and was the top performer among the EM markets last week.</li><li>The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, DSSA).</li><li>Market’s rally was also driven by the strong return in foreign investors’ flow which amounted to US$412mn, which put Indonesia among the only market with positive flow among the Asian EMs, with notable inflows into large-cap banks and TLKM. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI rallied by a strong 4.8% w-w and was the top performer among the EM markets last week.The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, DSSA).Market’s rally was also driven by the strong return in foreign investors’ flow which amounted to US$412mn, which put Indonesia among the only market with positive flow among the Asian EMs, with notable inflows into large-cap banks and TLKM. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Banking Sector’s P/BV Band Chart (5-Year)

<ul><li>The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.</li><li>Revenue target projects 9.8% growth, driven by higher tax collections requiring improvement in tax collection and reforms.</li><li>The fiscal plan moderates deficit to 2.48% in 2026, controlling debt supply while conservative yield assumptions provide fiscal buffer.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.Revenue target projects 9.8% growth, driven by higher tax collections requiring improvement in tax collection and reforms.The fiscal plan moderates deficit to 2.48% in 2026, controlling debt supply while conservative yield assumptions provide fiscal buffer.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: The 2026 Proposed Budget: Building Up Momentum

<ul><li>JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.</li><li>Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).</li><li>Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI P/E Band (10-Year)

Indonesia

PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. is a telecommunication company that provides a variety of domestic telecommunications services such as telephone, telex, telegram, satellite, and leased lines services. The Company also offers electronic mail, mobile communication, and cellular phone services.

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Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ)

Telco: 1.4 GHz Spectrum Auction Nears; 5G FWA Could Reshape Industry Dynamics (OVERWEIGHT)

The 1.4 GHz spectrum opening for 5G FWA may disrupt mobile economics, with an estimated effective cost per GB ~14× below mobile.

BRI Danareksa Research

Telco: Sep25 Price Tracker: Promotional ST Drag on Yields (OVERWEIGHT)

Our Sep25 price tracker indicates that Tsel and IOH offered lower yields in their promotional packages, which are typically limited-time offers.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Banking Sector’s P/BV Band Chart (5-Year)

The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and...

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: The 2026 Proposed Budget: Building Up Momentum

The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI P/E Band (10-Year)

MSCI’s Aug25 review announced the inclusion of DSSA and CUAN into the index, with exclusion of ADRO (into MSCI Small Cap).

BRI Danareksa Research

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