External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses</li><li>RIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 352bn (+19% YoY; +13% QoQ, HSIE: INR 344bn), above our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 158bn (-3.2% YoY, +16% QoQ), marginally below our estimate</li><li>Earnings were mainly driven by improvement in the O2C and E&amp;P segments. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another quarter of all-round impressive balance sheet performance with loan growth (+20% YoY), NIMs (4.7%) and asset quality (GNPA at 3.1%), reflecting in strong profitability vectors (standalone RoE of ~18%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businessesRIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 352bn (+19% YoY; +13% QoQ, HSIE: INR 344bn), above our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 158bn (-3.2% YoY, +16% QoQ), marginally below our estimateEarnings were mainly driven by improvement in the O2C and E&amp;P segments. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another quarter of all-round impressive balance sheet performance with loan growth (+20% YoY), NIMs (4.7%) and asset quality (GNPA at 3.1%), reflecting in strong profitability vectors (standalone RoE of ~18%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>It all went a bit potty in 2021-2022, and the market went from overextended lack of common sense to some mean reversion.</li><li>The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally being called out.   </li><li>In short, Head Fakes are red herrings that divert attention from what is already happening.  </li></ul>

It all went a bit potty in 2021-2022, and the market went from overextended lack of common sense to some mean reversion.The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally being called out.   In short, Head Fakes are red herrings that divert attention from what is already happening.  

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,708/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses</li><li>RIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 312bn (+20% YoY; -18% QoQ, HSIE: INR 321bn), below our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 137bn (-0.2% YoY, -24% QoQ), marginally below our estimate of INR 138bn</li><li>Earnings was mainly impacted by weakness in the O2C segment.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,708/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businessesRIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 312bn (+20% YoY; -18% QoQ, HSIE: INR 321bn), below our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 137bn (-0.2% YoY, -24% QoQ), marginally below our estimate of INR 138bnEarnings was mainly impacted by weakness in the O2C segment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reliance Industries (Q2FY23): Subdued O2C Segment Performance. Maintain ADD

<ul><li>RIL reported EBITDA of INR 220bn, (+92% YoY; +51% QoQ), 4% below our estimates in Q1</li><li>Standalone oil to chemicals (O2C) segment: Q1 EBITDA improved by 63% YoY to INR 194bn, mainly due to better transportation fuel cracks</li><li>Oil &amp; gas: Revenue grew ~3x YoY to INR 36bn and EBITDA improved ~4x YoY to INR 27bn, driven by sharp improvement in price realisaton and higher production from the KG D6 block</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

RIL reported EBITDA of INR 220bn, (+92% YoY; +51% QoQ), 4% below our estimates in Q1Standalone oil to chemicals (O2C) segment: Q1 EBITDA improved by 63% YoY to INR 194bn, mainly due to better transportation fuel cracksOil &amp; gas: Revenue grew ~3x YoY to INR 36bn and EBITDA improved ~4x YoY to INR 27bn, driven by sharp improvement in price realisaton and higher production from the KG D6 blockContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reliance Industries - Growth Trajectory Continues

<ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,860/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) continued EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses. </li><li>Gross slippages, at 2.9%, were elevated on account of the KCC portfolio, but were offset by higher recoveries, reflecting in negligible credit costs (adjusted for contingent provisions)</li><li>Despite a 54bps sequential reduction in the stressed pool (restructured portfolio at 0.8%, BB &amp; below portfolio at 1.9%), ICICIBC’s move to build up its contingent provisioning (+10bps) appears counter-intuitive and raises questions on the possibility of emerging risk markers in the portfolio</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,860/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) continued EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses. Gross slippages, at 2.9%, were elevated on account of the KCC portfolio, but were offset by higher recoveries, reflecting in negligible credit costs (adjusted for contingent provisions)Despite a 54bps sequential reduction in the stressed pool (restructured portfolio at 0.8%, BB &amp; below portfolio at 1.9%), ICICIBC’s move to build up its contingent provisioning (+10bps) appears counter-intuitive and raises questions on the possibility of emerging risk markers in the portfolioContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

India

Reliance Industries Ltd. manufactures petrochemicals, synthetic fibers, fiber intermediates, textiles, blended yarn and polyester staple fiber. The Company also owns a petroleum refinery cum petrochemicals complex in Jamnagar, India that produces a wide range of products such as gasoline, superior kerosene oil and liquefied petroleum gas.

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Reliance Industries (RELIANCE IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA...

HDFC Securities

Head Fakes

The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Reliance Industries (Q2FY23): Subdued O2C Segment Performance. Maintain ADD

RIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 312bn (+20% YoY; -18% QoQ, HSIE: INR 321bn), below our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 137bn (-0.2% YoY, ...

HDFC Securities

Reliance Industries - Growth Trajectory Continues

Standalone oil to chemicals (O2C) segment: Q1 EBITDA improved by 63% YoY to INR 194bn, mainly due to better transportation fuel cracks

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Gross slippages, at 2.9%, were elevated on account of the KCC portfolio, but were offset by higher recoveries, reflecting in negligible credit...

HDFC Securities

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