SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Energy stocks have led the global stock market over the past three weeks, while Telecommunication stocks have led the APAC region.</li><li>In Singapore, the trio of most traded energy stocks Rex Int, Geo Energy Resources and RH Petrogas have generated median gains of 8.2%, with a skew to their average gain given Rex International’s 357% gain from 31 Aug through to 22 Sep.</li><li>These two Sectors have recently been in play, with the past three weeks have seeing energy stocks lead the global stock market, while telecommunication stocks have led the region.</li></ul>

Energy stocks have led the global stock market over the past three weeks, while Telecommunication stocks have led the APAC region.In Singapore, the trio of most traded energy stocks Rex Int, Geo Energy Resources and RH Petrogas have generated median gains of 8.2%, with a skew to their average gain given Rex International’s 357% gain from 31 Aug through to 22 Sep.These two Sectors have recently been in play, with the past three weeks have seeing energy stocks lead the global stock market, while telecommunication stocks have led the region.

Global Energy Stocks on the Move in Sep, while Telcos Lead Region

Rex International Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Please note that this Market Update is only available in Chinese. 本地投资者也可以关注新加坡市场上的油气投资标的，近期它们的表现相当不俗，比如https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=T13、https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=5WH以及https://investors.sgx.com/securities/adrs?security=TPED等。 同时，在新加坡上市的https://investors.sgx.com/securities/adrs?security=TPED 的趋势和动能也在图表上表现出相当的强劲。.</li></ul>

Please note that this Market Update is only available in Chinese. 本地投资者也可以关注新加坡市场上的油气投资标的，近期它们的表现相当不俗，比如https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=T13、https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=5WH以及https://investors.sgx.com/securities/adrs?security=TPED等。 同时，在新加坡上市的https://investors.sgx.com/securities/adrs?security=TPED 的趋势和动能也在图表上表现出相当的强劲。.

What's Trending: Oil & Gas Stocks in Focus

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), UOB Kay Hian

UOB Kay Hian

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Backed by the UOB Group, UOB Kay Hian is one of Asia’s largest brokerage firms. Headquartered in Singapore, we are supported by more than 80 branches worldwide including a growing network of offices across Southeast Asia, Greater China, the United Kingdom and North America. Our global footprint and strong international presence have enabled us to feel the pulse of key financial markets and deliver incisive intelligence across industry sectors and asset classes. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>12 months after new oil production facilities were installed at the Yumna oil field offshore Oman (which is Rex International’s major cash cow), production has yet to regain the highs seen in 2021.</li><li>Instead, production remains stubbornly at 50% below change-out of the new facilities.</li><li>One year after the successful hook-up and commissioning of the new floating storage tanker and mobile offshore production unit (MOPU) at its key Yumna asset offshore Oman, production has continued to disappoint.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

12 months after new oil production facilities were installed at the Yumna oil field offshore Oman (which is Rex International’s major cash cow), production has yet to regain the highs seen in 2021.Instead, production remains stubbornly at 50% below change-out of the new facilities.One year after the successful hook-up and commissioning of the new floating storage tanker and mobile offshore production unit (MOPU) at its key Yumna asset offshore Oman, production has continued to disappoint.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Rex International - Yumna Oil Field Remains Problematic

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 2022 vintage of "5 High Conviction Ideas" had the weakest performance since 2017, with only China Shineway posting a positive return</li>
<li>Olam, Rex and Starhub all declined approximately 16% in FY22</li>
<li>Our 2023 vintage will hopefully perform better with 4 out of 5 favorites in the commodity space</li>
</ul>


The 2022 vintage of "5 High Conviction Ideas" had the weakest performance since 2017, with only China Shineway posting a positive return
Olam, Rex and Starhub all declined approximately 16% in FY22
Our 2023 vintage will hopefully perform better with 4 out of 5 favorites in the commodity space


Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2022...And 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2023

<ul>
<li>Rex reported a disappointing set of results mainly due to continued struggles in Oman. While Oman production was well over 10K bpd in 1H21 it deteriorated every month in 1H22.</li>
<li>Revenue was 99.45M USD (+31%) but we estimate it would have been closer to 149M USD if the Yumna field wouldn't have stopped producing for almost 70 days in 1H22.</li>
<li>YTD stock is -23% and can only reverse if management proves Oman is ready to rebound. Dividend payments will start on a quarterly basis as of October 2022.</li>
</ul>


Rex reported a disappointing set of results mainly due to continued struggles in Oman. While Oman production was well over 10K bpd in 1H21 it deteriorated every month in 1H22.
Revenue was 99.45M USD (+31%) but we estimate it would have been closer to 149M USD if the Yumna field wouldn't have stopped producing for almost 70 days in 1H22.
YTD stock is -23% and can only reverse if management proves Oman is ready to rebound. Dividend payments will start on a quarterly basis as of October 2022.


Rex 1H22 Results: All Eyes on Recovery in Oman; Trading on 8.3% Dividend Yield

Singapore

Rex International Holding Limited is a production and exploration oil company with concessions in Norway, UAE, Oman, and the US.

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Rex International Holding (REXI SP)

Global Energy Stocks on the Move in Sep, while Telcos Lead Region

Energy stocks have led the global stock market over the past three weeks, while Telecommunication stocks have led the APAC region. In Singapore,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Rex International - Yumna Oil Field Remains Problematic

Over the past two years, Yumna’s production has declined by >60%, with the latest May 23 data showing a 10% m-o-m decline.

UOB Kay Hian

Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2022...And 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2023

Our FY22 vintage of High Conviction Ideas had its weakest performance since FY17. We hope for better returns for our commodity-focused FY23 selection.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Rex 1H22 Results: All Eyes on Recovery in Oman; Trading on 8.3% Dividend Yield

Rex had a challenging 1H22 as production in Oman ground to a halt for almost 70 days. Rex will now have to prove to investors it can recover and...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Energy Stocks on the Move in Sep, while Telcos Lead Region

Energy stocks have led the global stock market over the past three weeks, while Telecommunication stocks have led the APAC region. In Singapore,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

What's Trending: Oil & Gas Stocks in Focus

Please note that this Market Update is only available in Chinese....

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Rex International - Yumna Oil Field Remains Problematic

Over the past two years, Yumna’s production has declined by >60%, with the latest May 23 data showing a 10% m-o-m decline.

UOB Kay Hian

Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2022...And 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2023

Our FY22 vintage of High Conviction Ideas had its weakest performance since FY17. We hope for better returns for our commodity-focused FY23 selection.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Rex 1H22 Results: All Eyes on Recovery in Oman; Trading on 8.3% Dividend Yield

Rex had a challenging 1H22 as production in Oman ground to a halt for almost 70 days. Rex will now have to prove to investors it can recover and...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven