Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are unlikely to be any inclusions to the index in June while there are three stocks that are close to the deletion threshold.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, there will be capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of over 4% and a one-way trade of A$78m.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:678:1" rel="noopener">AMP Ltd (AMP AU)</a> has been increasing as the stock has dropped and a further decline in the stock could lead to deletion.</li>
</ul>


There are unlikely to be any inclusions to the index in June while there are three stocks that are close to the deletion threshold.
Even if there are no constituent changes, there will be capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of over 4% and a one-way trade of A$78m.
Short interest on AMP Ltd (AMP AU) has been increasing as the stock has dropped and a further decline in the stock could lead to deletion.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Potential Deletes & Capping Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 5th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Natl Aust Bank, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas Airways, Mineral Resource.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 5th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Natl Aust Bank, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas Airways, Mineral Resource.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): NAB, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 28th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Bhp, Pilbara Minerals, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Igo, Northern Star Re.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 28th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Bhp, Pilbara Minerals, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Igo, Northern Star Re.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 28th): BHP, Pilbara, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Igo

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Sa / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.3%; GBL, 32.3%; Heineken Holding, 16.4%; Industrivärden C, 7.7%; Investor B, 9.5%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.7%. </li>
<li>The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 16.8%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.</li>
<li>Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.3%; GBL, 32.3%; Heineken Holding, 16.4%; Industrivärden C, 7.7%; Investor B, 9.5%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.7%. 
The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 16.8%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.
Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April’23 Report

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 21st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lottery, Igo, Woolworths, Newcrest Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 21st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lottery, Igo, Woolworths, Newcrest Mining.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 21st): Lottery, Igo, Woolworths, Newcrest Mining

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

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Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Potential Deletes & Capping Changes

There could be 3 deletions for the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index in June. Capping changes could result in one-way turnover of 4.1% and a one...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): NAB, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Natl Aust Bank, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 28th): BHP, Pilbara, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Igo

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Bhp, Pilbara Minerals, Newcrest Mining, Macquarie,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April’23 Report

Discounts to Net Asset Value of covered holdcos generally tightened during April, although some remained at the same levels. Rio DLC tightened.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 21st): Lottery, Igo, Woolworths, Newcrest Mining

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Lottery, Igo, Woolworths, Newcrest Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)