Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Volatility percentiles are flashing red, and we explore what recent price action could signal for the week ahead.</li>
<li>Implied vol rose meaningfully, approaching historical extremes, with more pressure likely as the week begins.</li>
<li>Options hedge adjustments are discussed following a strong move in both price and vol.</li>
</ul>


Volatility percentiles are flashing red, and we explore what recent price action could signal for the week ahead.
Implied vol rose meaningfully, approaching historical extremes, with more pressure likely as the week begins.
Options hedge adjustments are discussed following a strong move in both price and vol.


Kospi Index Options Weekly (Mar 31 – Apr 4): Rising Vol, Local and Global Political Undercurrents

Maxis Nikkei 225 Index Fund / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Volatility percentiles are flashing, and we explore what recent price action could signal for the week ahead.</li>
<li>Put activity surged, with especially heavy interest on Thursday and Friday and concentrated in short dates expiries.</li>
<li>We highlight the potential for equity market volatility to spill over into currency markets.</li>
</ul>


Volatility percentiles are flashing, and we explore what recent price action could signal for the week ahead.
Put activity surged, with especially heavy interest on Thursday and Friday and concentrated in short dates expiries.
We highlight the potential for equity market volatility to spill over into currency markets.


Nikkei Index Options Weekly Mar 31 – Apr 04): Volatility Elevated, Put Demand Surges

<ul>
<li>A shortened trading week masks the true extent of the HSI sell-off, with global markets down sharply Thursday and Friday</li>
<li>We use related indexes and historical relationships to estimate Monday’s price change and 1M implied vol for HSI.</li>
<li>Put activity surged, with heavy interest at the 19,600 strike potentially adding pressure to price and vol on Monday.</li>
</ul>


A shortened trading week masks the true extent of the HSI sell-off, with global markets down sharply Thursday and Friday
We use related indexes and historical relationships to estimate Monday’s price change and 1M implied vol for HSI.
Put activity surged, with heavy interest at the 19,600 strike potentially adding pressure to price and vol on Monday.


HSI Index Options Weekly (Mar 31-Apr 03): Global Meltdown, What to Expect on Monday

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>Analysis of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100</a> stock indices: where is the bottom for the global stock market rout? </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nasdaq-100-ndx-and-trump-s-tariffs-war-how-to-read-our-insights-models-during-a-bear-market-crash" target="_blank" rel="noopener">As explained in this insight</a>, our models have been battle-tested since 2008. While they can't predict the future, they provide valuable insights for identifying market bottoms during crashes. </li>
<li>What follows is a focused analysis of each market index we track, aimed at identifying potential bottoms amid extreme sell-offs, helping position ahead of the next Bear Market rally/reversal. </li>
</ul>


Analysis of the NIFTY, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, KOSPI 200, S&amp;P/ASX 200, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq-100 stock indices: where is the bottom for the global stock market rout? 

As explained in this insight, our models have been battle-tested since 2008. While they can't predict the future, they provide valuable insights for identifying market bottoms during crashes. 
What follows is a focused analysis of each market index we track, aimed at identifying potential bottoms amid extreme sell-offs, helping position ahead of the next Bear Market rally/reversal. 


Global Stocks Outlook: Where Is the Bottom for This Crash?

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>
India: RBI rate decision on 9 April, 0.25% cut expected.</li>
<li>
CPI Release: Several economies release CPI data next week, while central banks update their forecasts and scenarios with the recently released US tariffs.</li>
<li>
Monthly Option Expiries: in India (BSE Stock options), Japan (Nikkei, Topix, Stocks), and South Korea (Kospi 200). The BSE moved the expiry one day forward due to a holiday.</li>
</ul>



India: RBI rate decision on 9 April, 0.25% cut expected.

CPI Release: Several economies release CPI data next week, while central banks update their forecasts and scenarios with the recently released US tariffs.

Monthly Option Expiries: in India (BSE Stock options), Japan (Nikkei, Topix, Stocks), and South Korea (Kospi 200). The BSE moved the expiry one day forward due to a holiday.


Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (7 - 13 April)

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Kospi Index Options Weekly (Mar 31 – Apr 4): Rising Vol, Local and Global Political Undercurrents

We discuss how trading could unfold on Monday, the adjustment of a hedge recommendation and why recent price action hardens our conviction that...

John Ley

Nikkei Index Options Weekly Mar 31 – Apr 04): Volatility Elevated, Put Demand Surges

Recent volatility percentiles suggest potential market movement ahead. We highlight the potential for spillover of equity market volatility into...

John Ley

HSI Index Options Weekly (Mar 31-Apr 03): Global Meltdown, What to Expect on Monday

Global markets experienced a sharp sell-off at the end of the shortened trading week, with potential pressure on price and volatility for the Hang...

John Ley

Global Stocks Outlook: Where Is the Bottom for This Crash?

Analysis of Major Global Stock Indices to Identify Potential Intermediate Bottoms: Where Could the First Bear Market Rallies Begin?

Nico Rosti

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (7 - 13 April)

RBI expected to cut rates in India, CPI data and option expiries in focus for several economies next week. Exchange holiday in India.

Gaudenz Schneider

Kospi Index Options Weekly (Mar 31 – Apr 4): Rising Vol, Local and Global Political Undercurrents

We discuss how trading could unfold on Monday, the adjustment of a hedge recommendation and why recent price action hardens our conviction that...

John Ley

Nikkei Index Options Weekly Mar 31 – Apr 04): Volatility Elevated, Put Demand Surges

​Recent volatility percentiles suggest potential market movement ahead. We highlight the potential for spillover of equity market volatility into...

John Ley

HSI Index Options Weekly (Mar 31-Apr 03): Global Meltdown, What to Expect on Monday

​Global markets experienced a sharp sell-off at the end of the shortened trading week, with potential pressure on price and volatility for the Hang...

John Ley

Global Stocks Outlook: Where Is the Bottom for This Crash?

Analysis of Major Global Stock Indices to Identify Potential Intermediate Bottoms: Where Could the First Bear Market Rallies Begin?

Nico Rosti

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (7 - 13 April)

​RBI expected to cut rates in India, CPI data and option expiries in focus for several economies next week. Exchange holiday in India.

Gaudenz Schneider

Recent volatility percentiles suggest potential market movement ahead. We highlight the potential for spillover of equity market volatility into...

Global markets experienced a sharp sell-off at the end of the shortened trading week, with potential pressure on price and volatility for the Hang...

RBI expected to cut rates in India, CPI data and option expiries in focus for several economies next week. Exchange holiday in India.