Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>Indian market has discounted some of the issues the country faces </li>
<li>The best performing assets in Q1 2025 continue to be our favourites</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
Indian market has discounted some of the issues the country faces 
The best performing assets in Q1 2025 continue to be our favourites


Overview #21 India, Gold and the Slow Death of AI

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Retail investor activity and demat additions slowed sharply in early 2025, with new account openings falling to a multi-year low of 2.3Mn in February.</li>
<li>This signals a broader sentiment reset after a 5-month market correction and FPI outflows, impacting brokers, depositories like CDSL, and exchange volumes.</li>
<li>The euphoria phase is cooling, but the long-term equity culture remains intact. Investors should expect near-term consolidation, with stronger players gaining share.</li>
</ul>


Retail investor activity and demat additions slowed sharply in early 2025, with new account openings falling to a multi-year low of 2.3Mn in February.
This signals a broader sentiment reset after a 5-month market correction and FPI outflows, impacting brokers, depositories like CDSL, and exchange volumes.
The euphoria phase is cooling, but the long-term equity culture remains intact. Investors should expect near-term consolidation, with stronger players gaining share.


India’s Capital Markets in Early 2025: Retail Activity Cools Amid Shifting Currents

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>
Australia: RBA rate decision on 1 April. Expect no change.
</li>
<li>
Japan: Nikkei 225 rebalancing effective 31 March at the close.</li>
<li>
US reciprocal tariffs will keep everyone on their toes on 2 April.</li>
</ul>



Australia: RBA rate decision on 1 April. Expect no change.


Japan: Nikkei 225 rebalancing effective 31 March at the close.

US reciprocal tariffs will keep everyone on their toes on 2 April.


Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (31 March- 6 April)

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
India: Index changes for Nifty indices will take place. Multiple option expiries are scheduled, impacting stocks and indices such as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY 50 Index</a>, and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX Index</a>.</li>
<li>
Asia-Pacific: Key events include Hong Kong's earnings week and Tokyo CPI release, while Australia reports its Monthly CPI indicator.</li>
<li>
USA: Significant releases include the final Q4 2024 GDP figures and the PCE Price Index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.</li>
</ul>



India: Index changes for Nifty indices will take place. Multiple option expiries are scheduled, impacting stocks and indices such as the NIFTY 50 Index, and the SENSEX Index.

Asia-Pacific: Key events include Hong Kong's earnings week and Tokyo CPI release, while Australia reports its Monthly CPI indicator.

USA: Significant releases include the final Q4 2024 GDP figures and the PCE Price Index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.


Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 24-30)

<ul>
<li>Inflation is poised to trend lower in FY26 due to improving food supply conditions, a benign global commodity environment, and supportive monsoon expectations, risks from climate and geopolitical uncertainties.</li>
<li>Looking ahead, the continued moderation in inflation, combined with the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation, creates a favourable backdrop for further monetary easing.</li>
<li>A watchful policy stance and responsive fiscal-monetary coordination will be critical to sustaining the disinflation path.</li>
</ul>


Inflation is poised to trend lower in FY26 due to improving food supply conditions, a benign global commodity environment, and supportive monsoon expectations, risks from climate and geopolitical uncertainties.
Looking ahead, the continued moderation in inflation, combined with the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation, creates a favourable backdrop for further monetary easing.
A watchful policy stance and responsive fiscal-monetary coordination will be critical to sustaining the disinflation path.


Charted Insights: India’s Inflation Trajectory - What Lies Ahead in FY26?

India

The S&P BSE Sensex Index is a cap-weighted index. The index members have been selected on the basis of liquidity, depth, and floating-stock-adjustment depth and industry representation. Sensex has a base date and value of 100 in 1978-1979. The Index shifted to free-float methodology since 09/01/03. Please see {SNSXOLD Index <GO>} for mid-month options.

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

Overview #21 India, Gold and the Slow Death of AI

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Revisiting India, our top 2 allocations and the ongoing US bear market

Rikki Malik

India’s Capital Markets in Early 2025: Retail Activity Cools Amid Shifting Currents

Retail investor activity in early 2025 slows sharply, with new demat account openings hitting a multi-year low of 2.3Mn in Feb, signaling a...

Nimish Maheshwari

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (31 March- 6 April)

RBA expected to keep rates steady, Nikkei 225 rebalancing in Japan, India shifting its option expiration day, Exchange Holidays in India and...

Gaudenz Schneider

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 24-30)

Index changes in India's Nifty indices, key events in Asia-Pacific, and significant releases in the USA impacting stocks and indices globally.

Gaudenz Schneider

Charted Insights: India’s Inflation Trajectory - What Lies Ahead in FY26?

Inflation expected to decrease in FY26 with improved food supply and global conditions, creating room for further monetary easing and requiring...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Overview #21 India, Gold and the Slow Death of AI

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Revisiting India, our top 2 allocations and the ongoing US bear market

Rikki Malik

India’s Capital Markets in Early 2025: Retail Activity Cools Amid Shifting Currents

​Retail investor activity in early 2025 slows sharply, with new demat account openings hitting a multi-year low of 2.3Mn in Feb, signaling a...

Nimish Maheshwari

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (31 March- 6 April)

​RBA expected to keep rates steady, Nikkei 225 rebalancing in Japan, India shifting its option expiration day, Exchange Holidays in India and...

Gaudenz Schneider

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 24-30)

​Index changes in India's Nifty indices, key events in Asia-Pacific, and significant releases in the USA impacting stocks and indices globally.

Gaudenz Schneider

Charted Insights: India’s Inflation Trajectory - What Lies Ahead in FY26?

​Inflation expected to decrease in FY26 with improved food supply and global conditions, creating room for further monetary easing and requiring...

Nimish Maheshwari

Retail investor activity in early 2025 slows sharply, with new demat account openings hitting a multi-year low of 2.3Mn in Feb, signaling a...

RBA expected to keep rates steady, Nikkei 225 rebalancing in Japan, India shifting its option expiration day, Exchange Holidays in India and...

Index changes in India's Nifty indices, key events in Asia-Pacific, and significant releases in the USA impacting stocks and indices globally.

Inflation expected to decrease in FY26 with improved food supply and global conditions, creating room for further monetary easing and requiring...