Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> has announced a Scheme of Arrangement where all the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)</a> shares will be cancelled.</li>
<li>For every 10 shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)</a> held, shareholders will receive 7 shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a>. </li>
<li>The process is expected to take 12-15 months to complete and there will be passive buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> at the end of it.</li>
</ul>



Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) has announced a Scheme of Arrangement where all the Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) shares will be cancelled.
For every 10 shares of Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) held, shareholders will receive 7 shares of Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN). 
The process is expected to take 12-15 months to complete and there will be passive buying in Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) at the end of it.


Tata Motors (TTMT IN) - Goodbye to the DVR Arb

Index Rebalance

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors (TTMT IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> after the close on 19 December.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade between 3.6-7.7x ADV in the stocks and that increases significantly to 7.1-12x delivery volume.</li>
<li>There are indications that positioning has built up in both stocks over the last few weeks. However, in both cases, positioning is expected to be smaller than the passive selling.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) will replace Tata Motors (TTMT IN) in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) after the close on 19 December.
Passive trackers will need to trade between 3.6-7.7x ADV in the stocks and that increases significantly to 7.1-12x delivery volume.
There are indications that positioning has built up in both stocks over the last few weeks. However, in both cases, positioning is expected to be smaller than the passive selling.


SENSEX Index Rebalance: InterGlobe Aviation to Replace Tata Motors PV

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank of India (UNBK IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> price ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) and short Canara Bank (CBK IN) targets a 10% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN) price ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) and short Canara Bank (CBK IN) targets a 10% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) Vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN): Statistical Arbitrage in Indian Banks

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, the drop in market cap for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors (TTMT IN)</a> could result in index deletion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> is a potential inclusion to the index, but there is a small possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grasim-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:290:1" rel="noopener">Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)</a> being added to the index instead.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, the drop in market cap for Tata Motors (TTMT IN) could result in index deletion.

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) is a potential inclusion to the index, but there is a small possibility of Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN) being added to the index instead.


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim - Dark Horse

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/physicswallah-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45792:1" rel="noopener">Physicswallah Limited (2076103D IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 319.26m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$392m at a valuation of US$3.5bn.</li>
<li>The price band has been set at INR 103-109/share, and the issue is likely to price at the top end of the range.</li>
<li>The stock will be added to the AMFI Smallcap segment and inclusion in the Nifty Smallcap 250 index is likely in March. Global index inclusion could commence in June.</li>
</ul>



Physicswallah Limited (2076103D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 319.26m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$392m at a valuation of US$3.5bn.
The price band has been set at INR 103-109/share, and the issue is likely to price at the top end of the range.
The stock will be added to the AMFI Smallcap segment and inclusion in the Nifty Smallcap 250 index is likely in March. Global index inclusion could commence in June.


Physicswallah IPO: Index Inclusion Possibilities & Timing

India

The S&P BSE Sensex Index is a cap-weighted index. The index members have been selected on the basis of liquidity, depth, and floating-stock-adjustment depth and industry representation. Sensex has a base date and value of 100 in 1978-1979. The Index shifted to free-float methodology since 09/01/03. Please see {SNSXOLD Index <GO>} for mid-month options.

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

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S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

Tata Motors (TTMT IN) - Goodbye to the DVR Arb

The Tata Motors DVR arb will be a thing of the past in 12-15 months. The DVR line is trading at a 7% discount to scheme terms. There will be...

Brian Freitas

SENSEX Index Rebalance: InterGlobe Aviation to Replace Tata Motors PV

Interglobe Aviation (INDIGO) replaces Tata Motors PV in the Sensex at the close on 19 Dec. Impact/flow is big, and positioning appears to be...

Brian Freitas

Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) Vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN): Statistical Arbitrage in Indian Banks

Long Union Bank of India vs. short Canara Bank targets a 10% return, based on a deviation from their mean price ratio. Essential for quantitative...

Gaudenz Schneider

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim - Dark Horse

Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, Tata Motors could be deleted from the index. Indigo is the highest ranked non-member;...

Brian Freitas

Physicswallah IPO: Index Inclusion Possibilities & Timing

Physicswallah is looking to raise US$392m in its IPO at a valuation of US$3.5bn. Global small cap index adds could take place in June and August....

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)