Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>After years of being on the watchlist, Vietnam will be added to a global index in September 2026 as long as progress is made on one key issue.</li>
<li>The final decision will be made in March 2026, and the implementation of the inclusion will take place in phases.</li>
<li>We currently see 21 stocks meeting the inclusion criteria. There are others that are close to the inclusion thresholds, and the list will change over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


After years of being on the watchlist, Vietnam will be added to a global index in September 2026 as long as progress is made on one key issue.
The final decision will be made in March 2026, and the implementation of the inclusion will take place in phases.
We currently see 21 stocks meeting the inclusion criteria. There are others that are close to the inclusion thresholds, and the list will change over the next few months.


Vietnam: Global Index Inclusion & Passive Flows

<ul>
<li>Nam A Commercial Joint Stock Bank (NAB VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 March.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.1% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$26m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade from passives.</li>
<li>Vietnam is on the watchlist of a global index provider for possible reclassification from Frontier to Secondary Emerging Market and that could lead to inflows to the stocks.</li>
</ul>


Nam A Commercial Joint Stock Bank (NAB VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 March.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.1% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$26m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade from passives.
Vietnam is on the watchlist of a global index provider for possible reclassification from Frontier to Secondary Emerging Market and that could lead to inflows to the stocks.


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Credit growth achieves mid-year target despite bumpy initiation: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), as of June 30, credit growth reached 6% YTD, achieving the mid-year target of 5–6% for 1H24 set by the Prime Minister.</li><li>Notably, by the end of May, credit growth was only 2.4% YTD, indicating a sharp increase of 3.6% in June, with over 1.5% growth in the final week alone.</li><li>While the rapid increase in June might seem unnatural to some, it aligns well with the broader macroeconomic momentum during the period. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Credit growth achieves mid-year target despite bumpy initiation: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), as of June 30, credit growth reached 6% YTD, achieving the mid-year target of 5–6% for 1H24 set by the Prime Minister.Notably, by the end of May, credit growth was only 2.4% YTD, indicating a sharp increase of 3.6% in June, with over 1.5% growth in the final week alone.While the rapid increase in June might seem unnatural to some, it aligns well with the broader macroeconomic momentum during the period. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 1H24 Update and Outlook - So far, so good

<ul><li>Stagnant credit growth in 1Q24 comes with little surprise: The subdued credit growth in 1Q24 reflects broader economic trends, indicating one of the lowest levels in nearly a decade, with a YTD increase of 1.34%.</li><li>This is just slightly above the 0.5% YTD increase recorded in 1Q14 and similar to the pandemic-inception year of 2020.</li><li>However, this was not entirely surprising, given the cautious macroeconomic outlook, despite some signs of recovery.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Stagnant credit growth in 1Q24 comes with little surprise: The subdued credit growth in 1Q24 reflects broader economic trends, indicating one of the lowest levels in nearly a decade, with a YTD increase of 1.34%.This is just slightly above the 0.5% YTD increase recorded in 1Q14 and similar to the pandemic-inception year of 2020.However, this was not entirely surprising, given the cautious macroeconomic outlook, despite some signs of recovery.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 1Q24 Update and Outlook - Acceptable Shortfall

<ul><li>Pursuit of credit expansion in last days of the year: As of December 20, 2023, YTD credit growth reached 10.85%; remarkably, however, within the span of just 10 days, this figure surged to an impressive 13.7% YoY.</li><li>Put differently, the credit expansion observed in 4Q23 is nearly equivalent to that of 9M23 combined.</li><li>Overall, credit growth in the banking sector has nearly reached the SBV’s lower-bound target of 14-16% YoY. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Pursuit of credit expansion in last days of the year: As of December 20, 2023, YTD credit growth reached 10.85%; remarkably, however, within the span of just 10 days, this figure surged to an impressive 13.7% YoY.Put differently, the credit expansion observed in 4Q23 is nearly equivalent to that of 9M23 combined.Overall, credit growth in the banking sector has nearly reached the SBV’s lower-bound target of 14-16% YoY. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 2023 Update and Outlook - Progress in Motion

Vietnam

Saigon - Hanoi Commercial Joint Stock Bank provides commercial and personal banking services.

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Saigon - Hanoi Commercial (SHB VN)

Vietnam: Global Index Inclusion & Passive Flows

Vietnam could be added to a global index in Sep 2026. The final decision will be made in March. We see 21 stocks currently meeting index inclusion...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

Nam A Commercial JSB is an add and there are capping and float changes. Vietnam could move from Frontier to Secondary Emerging Market in a global...

Brian Freitas

Banking Sector - 1H24 Update and Outlook - So far, so good

According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), as of June 30, credit growth reached 6% YTD, achieving the mid-year target of 5–6% for 1H24 set by...

Mirae Asset Securities

Banking Sector - 1Q24 Update and Outlook - Acceptable Shortfall

The subdued credit growth in 1Q24 reflects broader economic trends, indicating one of the lowest levels in nearly a decade, with a YTD increase of...

Mirae Asset Securities

Banking Sector - 2023 Update and Outlook - Progress in Motion

As of December 20, 2023, YTD credit growth reached 10.85%; remarkably, however, within the span of just 10 days, this figure surged to an...

Mirae Asset Securities

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