Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A tactical snapshot of the Asian indices and stocks we cover.</li>
<li>
<strong>Multiple Asian stocks we track are flashing oversold signals</strong>—creating tactical long setups worth considerin.</li>
<li>We find <strong>no overbought stocks or indices in Asia at present</strong>. US equities show the same pattern, indicating a synchronized global market pullback</li>
</ul>


A tactical snapshot of the Asian indices and stocks we cover.

Multiple Asian stocks we track are flashing oversold signals—creating tactical long setups worth considerin.
We find no overbought stocks or indices in Asia at present. US equities show the same pattern, indicating a synchronized global market pullback


Asian Stocks Tactical Outlook (Week Nov 17 – Nov 21)

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Samsung Elec 1P discount hinges on tech selloff cooling retail’s semi chase; setup ripe, odds high for reversion early next week.</li>
<li>Dividend tax hearings may cut threshold to 35%; ~20 large‑caps (₩10T+ mkt cap) screen in FY25, Samsung included, fresh catalyst not yet priced into 1P discount.</li>
<li>If tech selloff extends next week and dividend tax headlines hit, retail cools, driving Samsung Elec 1P discount to snap tighter quickly.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Elec 1P discount hinges on tech selloff cooling retail’s semi chase; setup ripe, odds high for reversion early next week.
Dividend tax hearings may cut threshold to 35%; ~20 large‑caps (₩10T+ mkt cap) screen in FY25, Samsung included, fresh catalyst not yet priced into 1P discount.
If tech selloff extends next week and dividend tax headlines hit, retail cools, driving Samsung Elec 1P discount to snap tighter quickly.


Direction of Samsung Elec 1P Discount Next Week, Watch the Reversion Trade

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>By Q4 2025, Taiwan's wafer foundry industry will see advancements, driven by Foxconn's partnership with OpenAI.</li><li>Anthropic is targeting profitability by 2028, while OpenAI could incur losses of up to $74 billion in the same timeframe.</li><li>Toyota plans significant US expansion in the automotive sector, while Samsung Display starts mass production of OLEDoS displays.</li></ul>

By Q4 2025, Taiwan's wafer foundry industry will see advancements, driven by Foxconn's partnership with OpenAI.Anthropic is targeting profitability by 2028, while OpenAI could incur losses of up to $74 billion in the same timeframe.Toyota plans significant US expansion in the automotive sector, while Samsung Display starts mass production of OLEDoS displays.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Nov-2025): Taiwan wafer foundry outlook for Q4 2025.

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>Revenue in 3Q25 was 7.8% higher than in 2Q25, in line with stronger seasonal demand. GM: 22.0% in 3Q25, compared with 20.4% in 2Q25 and 20.5% in 3Q24.</li>
<li>The Company expects: Revenue Flat to up 2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). Gross Margin: Between 18% and 20%.</li>
<li>SMIC’s stock price has risen 160.7% year-to-date in 2025, outperforming <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> at 44.2% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> at 10.8%.</li>
</ul>


Revenue in 3Q25 was 7.8% higher than in 2Q25, in line with stronger seasonal demand. GM: 22.0% in 3Q25, compared with 20.4% in 2Q25 and 20.5% in 3Q24.
The Company expects: Revenue Flat to up 2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). Gross Margin: Between 18% and 20%.
SMIC’s stock price has risen 160.7% year-to-date in 2025, outperforming Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) at 44.2% and United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) at 10.8%.


SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Midway through the 3Q25 result season, eighteen Asian market-sectors have reported consensus EPS estimate upgrades over past one, three and six months. A quarter ago, we identified 11 such sectors.</li>
<li>Eleven of these sectors are from HK/China, Korea and Taiwan. Seven are from ASEAN markets, dominated by Thailand. India and Singapore are conspicuous by their absence.</li>
<li>Among the notable sectors with EPS upgrades, Chinese base metals, HK/Chinese and Korean financials, Chinese pharmaceuticals, Korean and Taiwanese technology, Thai utilities and communication and Philippines transportation stand out.</li>
</ul>


Midway through the 3Q25 result season, eighteen Asian market-sectors have reported consensus EPS estimate upgrades over past one, three and six months. A quarter ago, we identified 11 such sectors.
Eleven of these sectors are from HK/China, Korea and Taiwan. Seven are from ASEAN markets, dominated by Thailand. India and Singapore are conspicuous by their absence.
Among the notable sectors with EPS upgrades, Chinese base metals, HK/Chinese and Korean financials, Chinese pharmaceuticals, Korean and Taiwanese technology, Thai utilities and communication and Philippines transportation stand out.


Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSD LI)

Asian Stocks Tactical Outlook (Week Nov 17 – Nov 21)

Several Asian stocks are showing oversold conditions according to our models, creating tactical long setups worth considering, there are no...

Nico Rosti

Direction of Samsung Elec 1P Discount Next Week, Watch the Reversion Trade

This post takes a look at the outlook for Samsung Elec’s 1P discount reversion heading into next week, focusing on the key swing factors that could...

Sanghyun Park

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Nov-2025): Taiwan wafer foundry outlook for Q4 2025.

By Q4 2025, Taiwan's wafer foundry industry will advance with Foxconn and OpenAI's collaboration, while Anthropic targets profitability by 2028...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...

Patrick Liao

Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Stocks Tactical Outlook (Week Nov 17 – Nov 21)

​Several Asian stocks are showing oversold conditions according to our models, creating tactical long setups worth considering, there are no...

Nico Rosti

Direction of Samsung Elec 1P Discount Next Week, Watch the Reversion Trade

This post takes a look at the outlook for Samsung Elec’s 1P discount reversion heading into next week, focusing on the key swing factors that could...

Sanghyun Park

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Nov-2025): Taiwan wafer foundry outlook for Q4 2025.

By Q4 2025, Taiwan's wafer foundry industry will advance with Foxconn and OpenAI's collaboration, while Anthropic targets profitability by 2028...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

​SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...

Patrick Liao

Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

​18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Several Asian stocks are showing oversold conditions according to our models, creating tactical long setups worth considering, there are no...

SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...

18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...