Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SMCI +11.6% has continued to surge higher lifting server related plays.</li>
<li>Kirin's partial sale of Kyowa Hakko Bio unlikely to met with much enthusiasm.</li>
<li>Will a future test-time growth trajectory slowdown for Advantest dampen sentiment?</li>
</ul>


SMCI +11.6% has continued to surge higher lifting server related plays.
Kirin's partial sale of Kyowa Hakko Bio unlikely to met with much enthusiasm.
Will a future test-time growth trajectory slowdown for Advantest dampen sentiment?


Japan Morning Connection: Bessent's Nomination for Treasury Secretary Seen as Stabilizing Markets

<ul>
<li>Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily</li>
<li>Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today</li>
<li>Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries</li>
</ul>


Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily
Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today
Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>FY Mar-25 sales and profit guidance has been raised and new orders are trending up, pointing to continued growth next year. </li>
<li>Supported by investment in AI, foundry and high-bandwidth memory related demand are driving growth for semiconductor production equipment.</li>
<li>Attractively valued at 12x projected earnings with share price bottoming out. Buy for the medium to long term. </li>
</ul>


FY Mar-25 sales and profit guidance has been raised and new orders are trending up, pointing to continued growth next year. 
Supported by investment in AI, foundry and high-bandwidth memory related demand are driving growth for semiconductor production equipment.
Attractively valued at 12x projected earnings with share price bottoming out. Buy for the medium to long term. 


Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Bad News in the Price, Guidance Raised

<ul>
<li>A disastrous election outcome for the LDP may be the end for PM Ishiba</li>
<li>Expect weak yen beneficiaries to gain, but markets overall to be weak as foreigners de-risk on the political instability</li>
<li>Unwitting TSMC exports to Huawei may put the spotlight back on US export restrictions for allies</li>
</ul>


A disastrous election outcome for the LDP may be the end for PM Ishiba
Expect weak yen beneficiaries to gain, but markets overall to be weak as foreigners de-risk on the political instability
Unwitting TSMC exports to Huawei may put the spotlight back on US export restrictions for allies


Japan Morning Connection: Political Bungling Par Excellence

<ul>
<li>Don't expect initial 'sell the fact' reaction to Fed's best-case 50 bps cut to weigh on Japan, with a lot of money on the sidelines in Asia to be deployed.</li>
<li>Shin-Etsu via its PVC sub Shintech and the Japanese home builders with high US exposure continue to look attractive as rate cut plays.</li>
<li>Further US export controls for allies on chip making equipment are imminent and names with lower China sales ratios remain the safer SPE plays.</li>
</ul>


Don't expect initial 'sell the fact' reaction to Fed's best-case 50 bps cut to weigh on Japan, with a lot of money on the sidelines in Asia to be deployed.
Shin-Etsu via its PVC sub Shintech and the Japanese home builders with high US exposure continue to look attractive as rate cut plays.
Further US export controls for allies on chip making equipment are imminent and names with lower China sales ratios remain the safer SPE plays.


Japan Morning Connection: Market Expected to Recover After Fed Announcement

Japan

SCREEN Holdings Co Ltd.  manufactures and sell semiconductors, FPD devices, commercial printing and printed circuit boards(PCB). The company also provides additional services for its products.

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SCREEN Holdings (7735 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Bessent's Nomination for Treasury Secretary Seen as Stabilizing Markets

SMCI stock continues to climb higher, boosting server-related. Kirin's sale of Kyowa Hakko Bio may not be met with enthusiasm. Concerns about...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson