Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Seagate Technology Holdings PL / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Seagate Technology recently reported its fiscal first-quarter 2026 results, showcasing a strong start to the year marked by notable financial performance and strategic advancements.</li><li>Positively, Seagate reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 21%, reaching $2.63 billion.</li><li>Non-GAAP gross margin reached a new record for the company at 40.1%, with operating margins climbing to 29%.</li></ul>

Seagate Technology recently reported its fiscal first-quarter 2026 results, showcasing a strong start to the year marked by notable financial performance and strategic advancements.Positively, Seagate reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 21%, reaching $2.63 billion.Non-GAAP gross margin reached a new record for the company at 40.1%, with operating margins climbing to 29%.

Seagate Technology Goes All-In on HAMR – Will 40TB Drives Change Everything?

Smartkarma AI, Smartkarma

αSK

Smartkarma AI

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

<ul>
  <li>Seagate is strategically positioned to capitalize on the exponential growth in data driven by AI and cloud computing, leveraging its leadership in high-capacity storage solutions.</li>
  <li>The company's technological lead in Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) provides a significant competitive advantage, enabling higher storage densities and lower total cost of ownership for hyperscale customers, with a roadmap extending to 50TB+ drives.</li>
  <li>After a cyclical downturn, Seagate has demonstrated a strong financial recovery with record gross margins and a significant increase in free cash flow, enabling renewed shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks.</li>
</ul><p><em>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.</em></p>


  Seagate is strategically positioned to capitalize on the exponential growth in data driven by AI and cloud computing, leveraging its leadership in high-capacity storage solutions.
  The company's technological lead in Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) provides a significant competitive advantage, enabling higher storage densities and lower total cost of ownership for hyperscale customers, with a roadmap extending to 50TB+ drives.
  After a cyclical downturn, Seagate has demonstrated a strong financial recovery with record gross margins and a significant increase in free cash flow, enabling renewed shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Primer: Seagate Technology Holdings PL (STX US) - Oct 2025

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Seagate Technology Holdings PL / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. </li>
<li>We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level. Or consolidation?</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Shorter-Term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. 
We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level. Or consolidation?


Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

<ul><li>Seagate Technology reported a strong performance for the fiscal fourth quarter and the entire fiscal year 2025, characterized by significant year-over-year growth in key financial metrics.</li><li>The company's results highlighted a 30% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue and record gross margins, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of gross margin improvement.</li><li>This performance was attributed to increased adoption of Seagate's heatassisted magnetic recording (HAMR) technology and a robust demand for nearline products in global cloud markets.</li></ul>

Seagate Technology reported a strong performance for the fiscal fourth quarter and the entire fiscal year 2025, characterized by significant year-over-year growth in key financial metrics.The company's results highlighted a 30% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue and record gross margins, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of gross margin improvement.This performance was attributed to increased adoption of Seagate's heatassisted magnetic recording (HAMR) technology and a robust demand for nearline products in global cloud markets.

Seagate Technology: Initiation of Coverage- HAMR Technology Advancement

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alnylam-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2191:1" rel="noopener">Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monolithic-power-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2088:1" rel="noopener">Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seagate-technology-holdings-pl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9129:1" rel="noopener">Seagate Technology Holdings (STX US)</a> are the top 3 addition candidates with ALNY at the top.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/globalfoundries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34513:1" rel="noopener">GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cdw-corp-de" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2244:1" rel="noopener">CDW Corp (CDW US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:972:1" rel="noopener">Biogen (BIIB US)</a> are the top 3 deletion candidates with GFS at the bottom.</li>
<li>Versant (VSNT) and Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS) are estimated to be deleted following completion of their spinoffs with the earliest one expected on 30 October 2025.</li>
</ul>



Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US), Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR US) and Seagate Technology Holdings (STX US) are the top 3 addition candidates with ALNY at the top.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US), CDW Corp (CDW US) and Biogen (BIIB US) are the top 3 deletion candidates with GFS at the bottom.
Versant (VSNT) and Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS) are estimated to be deleted following completion of their spinoffs with the earliest one expected on 30 October 2025.


Nasdaq100 Dec2025 Forecast (Part 2): ALNY at the Top; GFS at the Bottom; Spinoffs Pending

United States

Seagate Technology Holdings Public Limited Company offers computer hardware products. The Company designs, manufactures, and markets hard disk drives for enterprise applications, client compute applications, client non-compute applications, personal data backup systems, portable external storage systems and digital media systems.

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Seagate Technology Holdings PL (STX US)

Seagate Technology Goes All-In on HAMR – Will 40TB Drives Change Everything?

Seagate Technology recently reported its fiscal first-quarter 2026 results, showcasing a strong start to the year marked by notable financial...

Baptista Research

Primer: Seagate Technology Holdings PL (STX US) - Oct 2025

Seagate is strategically positioned to capitalize on the exponential growth in data driven by AI and cloud computing, leveraging its leadership...

αSK

Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

Downgrading Staples $XLP to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading While Prior Leaders Consolidate; $SMH Above $280, 10-yr Treasury yield below key...

Vermilion Research

Seagate Technology: Initiation of Coverage- HAMR Technology Advancement

Seagate Technology reported a strong performance for the fiscal fourth quarter and the entire fiscal year 2025, characterized by significant...

Baptista Research

Nasdaq100 Dec2025 Forecast (Part 2): ALNY at the Top; GFS at the Bottom; Spinoffs Pending

SOLS was deleted from the index at the close of 6 Nov following Honeywell’s spinoff. VSNT is still expected to be removed but Comcast’s spinoff has...

Dimitris Ioannidis

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