Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Relative strength for MSCI EM is bottoming vs. MSCI EAFE despite continued global equity market weakness.  Although the MSCI EM's price index remains in a downtrend, we are seeing signs of outperformance ona a relative strength basis and would add incremental exposure. In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Relative strength for MSCI EM is bottoming vs. MSCI EAFE despite continued global equity market weakness.  Although the MSCI EM's price index remains in a downtrend, we are seeing signs of outperformance ona a relative strength basis and would add incremental exposure. In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

EM Relative Strength Is Bottoming: Overweight

With U.S. markets stumbling, the MSCI ACWI index is breaking down to new lows: defensive Sectors remain attractive. Relative to MSCI ACWI however, emerging markets are the place to be. China, Brazil, Hungary, Qatar, India, Poland, and Indonesia all display positive price and/or RS trends. In this report we recap technical important levels on all major indexes and highlight attractive stocks within Real Estate, Health Care/Pharma, Precious Metals Mining, and Utilities.

With U.S. markets stumbling, the MSCI ACWI index is breaking down to new lows: defensive Sectors remain attractive. Relative to MSCI ACWI however, emerging markets are the place to be. China, Brazil, Hungary, Qatar, India, Poland, and Indonesia all display positive price and/or RS trends. In this report we recap technical important levels on all major indexes and highlight attractive stocks within Real Estate, Health Care/Pharma, Precious Metals Mining, and Utilities.

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-2017-forecast-summary" target="_blank">strong property sales volumes</a>) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite strong property sales volumes) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look at house prices, sales volumes, inventory clearing, land sales, construction indicators, policy and other factors.  Adapted from the presentation on ChinaDebate on Feb 2.

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look at house prices, sales volumes, inventory clearing, land sales, construction indicators, policy and other factors.  Adapted from the presentation on ChinaDebate on Feb 2.

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

China

Shanghai Industrial Development Co., Ltd. develops, sells, and leases real estate properties.

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Shanghai Industrial Devel A (600748 CH)

EM Relative Strength Is Bottoming: Overweight

Relative strength for MSCI EM is bottoming vs. MSCI EAFE despite continued global equity market weakness. Although the MSCI EM's price index...

Vermilion Research

Global Markets Deteriorating...Except EM

With U.S. markets stumbling, the MSCI ACWI index is breaking down to new lows: defensive Sectors remain attractive. Relative to MSCI ACWI however,...

Vermilion Research

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)