Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Shanghai Friendess Electronic / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Money continues to flow into mainland China ETFs taking the total inflows since 18 July to over US$25bn. This has likely helped stabilise the market and prevent a bigger fall.</li>
<li>The inflows continue to be largest on ETFs tracking headline indices - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, CSI1000, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext</a>. Plus there are inflows on some sectoral and thematic ETFs.</li>
<li>The skew between stocks gaining 20%+ over the period vs those dropping -20% or more has improved significantly over the last week.</li>
</ul>


Money continues to flow into mainland China ETFs taking the total inflows since 18 July to over US$25bn. This has likely helped stabilise the market and prevent a bigger fall.
The inflows continue to be largest on ETFs tracking headline indices - CSI 300, STAR50, CSI1000, CSI 500, SSE50, ChiNext. Plus there are inflows on some sectoral and thematic ETFs.
The skew between stocks gaining 20%+ over the period vs those dropping -20% or more has improved significantly over the last week.


China ETFs: Inflows Continue to Support the Market

<ul>
<li>Nearly US$20bn has flowed into mainland China listed ETFs since 18 July and could be driven by the National Team supporting the market.</li>
<li>Most of the inflows have been focused on large cap indices including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext</a> and other sectoral and thematic ETFs.</li>
<li>The largest impact has been on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> constituents, but that has not stopped the slide in the stocks.</li>
</ul>


Nearly US$20bn has flowed into mainland China listed ETFs since 18 July and could be driven by the National Team supporting the market.
Most of the inflows have been focused on large cap indices including CSI 300, STAR50, CSI 500, SSE50, ChiNext and other sectoral and thematic ETFs.
The largest impact has been on the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) constituents, but that has not stopped the slide in the stocks.


China: Huge ETF Inflows & Impact on Stocks

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing B / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the <em>next</em> largest 500 names.</li>
<li>During the periodic index rebalance events, a large number of stocks move into or out of these indices giving rise to significant flow events and attractive trading opportunities.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of the CSI 300/500 index rebalance baskets.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
During the periodic index rebalance events, a large number of stocks move into or out of these indices giving rise to significant flow events and attractive trading opportunities.
In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of the CSI 300/500 index rebalance baskets.


Quiddity Primer for CSI 300/500 Index Rebalance Events

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Most major indices extended their April rally through May, but seasonal patterns suggest caution from here.</li>
<li>Implied volatility declined across most markets, but remains above historical medians in several key regions.</li>
<li>Vol premium analysis highlights a few standouts where short vol has historically outperformed.</li>
</ul>


Most major indices extended their April rally through May, but seasonal patterns suggest caution from here.
Implied volatility declined across most markets, but remains above historical medians in several key regions.
Vol premium analysis highlights a few standouts where short vol has historically outperformed.


Global Macro Outlook (June): From Rally to Reversal? Macro Trends Shift as June Unfolds

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway, Trina Solar, Xinjiang Daqo, TCL Zhonghuan, Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway, Trina Solar, Xinjiang Daqo, TCL Zhonghuan, Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong.


CSI 300 Earning Revision Analysis (May): Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway

China

The CSI 300 Index is a free-float weighted index that consists of 300 A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai or Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. Index has a base level of 1000 on 12/31/2004. * Due to our agreement with CSI, shares in the index is restricted, please visit SSIS<go> for more information and access. This ticker holds prices fed from Shenzhen Stock Exchange.

Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)

China ETFs: Inflows Continue to Support the Market

Money continues to flow into mainland China ETFs with the total inflows since 18 July over US$25bn. This has likely helped stabilise the market and...

Brian Freitas

China: Huge ETF Inflows & Impact on Stocks

Nearly US$20bn has flowed into mainland China ETFs and could be driven by National Team supporting the market. There are many stocks where the ETFs...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Primer for CSI 300/500 Index Rebalance Events

We evaluated the performance of 1205+ unique past Index rebalance cases (ADDs and DELs) involving the CSI 300 index and CSI 500 index from December...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Global Macro Outlook (June): From Rally to Reversal? Macro Trends Shift as June Unfolds

Major indices continued their rally in May, but caution is advised due to seasonal patterns. Implied volatility has decreased but remains high in...

John Ley

CSI 300 Earning Revision Analysis (May): Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for May 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Cosco Shipping (601919 CH), Longi Green (601012 CH), Tongwei (600438...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China ETFs: Inflows Continue to Support the Market

Money continues to flow into mainland China ETFs with the total inflows since 18 July over US$25bn. This has likely helped stabilise the market and...

Brian Freitas

China: Huge ETF Inflows & Impact on Stocks

Nearly US$20bn has flowed into mainland China ETFs and could be driven by National Team supporting the market. There are many stocks where the ETFs...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Primer for CSI 300/500 Index Rebalance Events

We evaluated the performance of 1205+ unique past Index rebalance cases (ADDs and DELs) involving the CSI 300 index and CSI 500 index from December...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Global Macro Outlook (June): From Rally to Reversal? Macro Trends Shift as June Unfolds

​Major indices continued their rally in May, but caution is advised due to seasonal patterns. Implied volatility has decreased but remains high in...

John Ley

CSI 300 Earning Revision Analysis (May): Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for May 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Cosco Shipping (601919 CH), Longi Green (601012 CH), Tongwei (600438...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Major indices continued their rally in May, but caution is advised due to seasonal patterns. Implied volatility has decreased but remains high in...