Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Beijing Airport High Tech A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 8 adds and 3 deletes for the CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index in June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 456m. There are a few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds and deletes have performed in line over the last few months, and the announcement of the changes could lead to short-term outperformance.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 8 adds and 3 deletes for the CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index in June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 456m. There are a few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds and deletes have performed in line over the last few months, and the announcement of the changes could lead to short-term outperformance.


CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Changes in June

Everyday Network Co Ltd A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 7 adds and 4 deletes for the CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index in December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.8% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 535m. There are a couple of stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast deletes have outperformed the forecast adds over the last 2 months and this is an attractive entry point as we near announcement date.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 7 adds and 4 deletes for the CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index in December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.8% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 535m. There are a couple of stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
The forecast deletes have outperformed the forecast adds over the last 2 months and this is an attractive entry point as we near announcement date.


CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Changes in December

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-2017-forecast-summary" target="_blank">strong property sales volumes</a>) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite strong property sales volumes) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look at house prices, sales volumes, inventory clearing, land sales, construction indicators, policy and other factors.  Adapted from the presentation on ChinaDebate on Feb 2.

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look at house prices, sales volumes, inventory clearing, land sales, construction indicators, policy and other factors.  Adapted from the presentation on ChinaDebate on Feb 2.

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

China

Shanghai Tianchen Co., Ltd. is an investment holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company develops and manages real estate properties, provides taxi transportation services, offers driver training programs, operates parking lots and logistic zones, and manufactures pharmaceuticals. The Company also operates hotel and construction and renovation businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shanghai Tianchen Co Ltd A (600620 CH)

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Changes in June

There could be 8 adds and 3 deletes for the index in June. Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY...

Brian Freitas

CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Changes in December

There could be up to 7 adds and 4 deletes in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 3.8% and the round-trip trade is CNY 535m. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look...

Robert Ciemniak