Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Aggressive foreclosure of Evergrande assets suggests a sea change in how mainland China is handling real estate company defaults – especially with foreign creditors; </li>
<li>Creditor China Cinda’s involvement on the seven-member risk management committee and the appointment of a Cinda senior executive is an alarming conflict of interest; and </li>
<li>4Q21 earnings season will be huge tell for mainland Chinese NPLs which likely peak at 20% of total loans.   </li>
</ul>


Aggressive foreclosure of Evergrande assets suggests a sea change in how mainland China is handling real estate company defaults – especially with foreign creditors; 
Creditor China Cinda’s involvement on the seven-member risk management committee and the appointment of a Cinda senior executive is an alarming conflict of interest; and 
4Q21 earnings season will be huge tell for mainland Chinese NPLs which likely peak at 20% of total loans.   


Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

This month, we undertake a study of the ratings evolution of all the issuers that have been included in the Lucror Asia HY index (commenced in 2013). The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  This month, we undertake a study of the ratings evolution of all the issuers that have been included in the Lucror Asia HY index (commenced in 2013).   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Ratings Transition Report - Lucror Analytics

<ul>
<li>Evergrande’s seven-member risk management committee includes China Cinda, a major Evergrande creditor;    </li>
<li>Adding insult to injury, a China Cinda senior executive was appointed as an Evergrande director; and </li>
<li>This is massive conflict of interest coupled with the local municipality bonepickers give us little confidence that any creditor will be treated fairly. </li>
</ul>


Evergrande’s seven-member risk management committee includes China Cinda, a major Evergrande creditor;    
Adding insult to injury, a China Cinda senior executive was appointed as an Evergrande director; and 
This is massive conflict of interest coupled with the local municipality bonepickers give us little confidence that any creditor will be treated fairly. 


China Evergrande Group – Fox in Henhouse

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Saving face is a deeply, ingrained part of culture in many Asian countries such as Korea and China. </li>
<li>We will discuss how saving face could be tied to kicking the debt can in Korea and China as it relates to the Presidential election and the Beijing Winter Olympics.</li>
<li>In conclusion, expect debt related issues to make more headlines in both Korea and China after the Beijing Olympics and Korean Presidential election in early March.  </li>
</ul>


Saving face is a deeply, ingrained part of culture in many Asian countries such as Korea and China. 
We will discuss how saving face could be tied to kicking the debt can in Korea and China as it relates to the Presidential election and the Beijing Winter Olympics.
In conclusion, expect debt related issues to make more headlines in both Korea and China after the Beijing Olympics and Korean Presidential election in early March.  


Saving Face and Kicking the Debt Can in Korea & China (Post Presidential Election & Olympics)

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li><li><a href='/entities/kaisa-group-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Kaisa Group Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>First Pacific Co</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:China Jinmao HoldingsLifestyle International HoldingsGeely AutoKaisa Group HoldingsFirst Pacific Coand more...

Hong Kong

Shimao Property Holdings Limited develops real estate projects in China.

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Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK)

China Evergrande Group – Tug of War

EVERGRANDE: Aggressive foreclosure of assets is a sea change in mainland China. 4Q21 earnings season will be huge tell for mainland Chinese NPLs...

Thomas J. Monaco

Asia HY Monthly - Ratings Transition Report - Lucror Analytics

This month, we undertake a study of the ratings evolution of all the issuers that have been included in the Lucror Asia HY index (commenced in...

Lucror Analytics

China Evergrande Group – Fox in Henhouse

EVERGRANDE: Evergrande’s risk management committee includes China Cinda, a major Evergrande creditor. This is massive conflict provides little...

Thomas J. Monaco

Saving Face and Kicking the Debt Can in Korea & China (Post Presidential Election & Olympics)

In this insight, we will discuss how saving face could be tied to kicking the debt can in Korea and China as it relates to the Presidential...

Douglas Kim

Weekly Wrap - 28 Jan 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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