Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Postal Savings Bank of China C / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The China real estate situation remains challenging for banks credit quality, with more real estate developers in financial difficulties, with them either close to, or at default</li>
<li>The macro-economic picture is challenged by China’s zero-Covid policy hurting supply chains, and PBOC is tightening liquidity despite the recent small cuts to reserve requirements and benchmark rates</li>
<li>Before 4Q21 results, the larger cap banks’ credit quality snapshot shows that China Minsheng is very challenged, with Postal Savings Bank and China Merchants in strong positions</li>
</ul>


The China real estate situation remains challenging for banks credit quality, with more real estate developers in financial difficulties, with them either close to, or at default
The macro-economic picture is challenged by China’s zero-Covid policy hurting supply chains, and PBOC is tightening liquidity despite the recent small cuts to reserve requirements and benchmark rates
Before 4Q21 results, the larger cap banks’ credit quality snapshot shows that China Minsheng is very challenged, with Postal Savings Bank and China Merchants in strong positions


China Banks – Credit Quality Snapshot Ahead of 4Q21

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

<ul>
<li>Mainland Chinese municipalities and authorities continue to find numerous ways to bone pick the Evergrande carcass without compensation; </li>
<li>Evergrande’s offshore bondholders are now threatening legal enforcement of collateral over the company’s “opaque” debt restructuring process; and </li>
<li>Guangdong province is seeking to segregate Evergrande’s offshore assets in a fire sale to cover what they can of the company’s offshore debt. </li>
</ul>


Mainland Chinese municipalities and authorities continue to find numerous ways to bone pick the Evergrande carcass without compensation; 
Evergrande’s offshore bondholders are now threatening legal enforcement of collateral over the company’s “opaque” debt restructuring process; and 
Guangdong province is seeking to segregate Evergrande’s offshore assets in a fire sale to cover what they can of the company’s offshore debt. 


China Evergrande Group – Vultures Circling

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/anton-oilfield-services-gp' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Anton Oilfield</a></li><li><a href='/entities/olam-international-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Olam International</a></li><li><a href='/entities/times-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Times China</a></li><li><a href='/entities/shimao-property-holdings-limited' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Shimao Property Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Sunac China HoldingsAnton OilfieldOlam InternationalTimes ChinaShimao Property Holdingsand more...

Hong Kong

Shimao Property Holdings Limited develops real estate projects in China.

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Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK)

China Banks – Credit Quality Snapshot Ahead of 4Q21

Ahead of the first China larger cap banks to report 4Q21 at month-end, our snapshot of 3Q21 NPL metrics outlines the most challenged - China...

Victor Galliano

Morning Views Asia:

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia:

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

China Evergrande Group – Vultures Circling

EVERGRANDE: Offshore bondholders are now threatening legal enforcement of collateral over the company’s “opaque” debt restructuring process, with...

Thomas J. Monaco

Weekly Wrap - 21 Jan 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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