Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equity indexes have staged impressive rallies from oversold levels, and certain hard-hit areas in Europe (STOXX600 Technology, Industrial Goods &amp; Services, and Chemicals Sectors) display bullish short-term price reversals.</li>
<li>We view this as a potential signal that the lows may have been established for this correction, but we need to see more upside follow-through.</li>
<li>Regardless, we want to stick with Sectors and stocks that have remained technically attractive throughout this pullback, not on areas that are just now spiking from oversold levels within downtrends.</li>
</ul>


Global equity indexes have staged impressive rallies from oversold levels, and certain hard-hit areas in Europe (STOXX600 Technology, Industrial Goods &amp; Services, and Chemicals Sectors) display bullish short-term price reversals.
We view this as a potential signal that the lows may have been established for this correction, but we need to see more upside follow-through.
Regardless, we want to stick with Sectors and stocks that have remained technically attractive throughout this pullback, not on areas that are just now spiking from oversold levels within downtrends.


Value Remains Leadership; Actionable Ideas: Energy, Financials, Industrials, and Materials

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Scheme Booklet for the Bardoc Gold - St Barbara Deal was published today. The Scheme Meeting will be held virtually at 1:00pm (Perth time) 30th March 2022.</li>
<li>The Independent Expert has concluded that, in the absence of a Superior Proposal, the Scheme is fair and reasonable and therefore in the best interests of Bardoc Scheme Shareholders.</li>
<li>Below is a discussion on the developments since my previous insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bardoc-gold-st-barbara-merger" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62699" rel="noopener">Bardoc Gold - St Barbara Merger</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Scheme Booklet for the Bardoc Gold - St Barbara Deal was published today. The Scheme Meeting will be held virtually at 1:00pm (Perth time) 30th March 2022.
The Independent Expert has concluded that, in the absence of a Superior Proposal, the Scheme is fair and reasonable and therefore in the best interests of Bardoc Scheme Shareholders.
Below is a discussion on the developments since my previous insight Bardoc Gold - St Barbara Merger. 


Bardoc - St Barbara Merger: Scheme Booklet Out; Still Wide + ASX200 Index Kicker

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view remains unchanged; overhead longer-term resistance on the MSCI EM, EAFE, and ACWI ex-US indexes (all priced in local currency) is something to be aware of, however if the ACWI-US is above $70 our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish and we suggest buying any dips. In today's report we highlight attractive charts within defensives (Consumer Staples &amp; Utilities), cyclicals (Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Financial, &amp; Materials), and in-between Sectors (Communications, Services, &amp; Health Care)

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view remains unchanged; overhead longer-term resistance on the MSCI EM, EAFE, and ACWI ex-US indexes (all priced in local currency) is something to be aware of, however if the ACWI-US is above $70 our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish and we suggest buying any dips. In today's report we highlight attractive charts within defensives (Consumer Staples &amp; Utilities), cyclicals (Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Financial, &amp; Materials), and in-between Sectors (Communications, Services, &amp; Health Care)

Global Equity Strategy: Stick With Technology

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Global equities continue to trend higher following breakouts that have occurred during the past two weeks. Over this timeframe we have been recommending adding exposure to cyclical Sectors and, despite them getting near-term extended, we believe these upside moves are likely just getting going. Additionally, the US dollar is breaking below support and EM equities are breaking above resistance, only adding to our bullish outlook on global equities. We highlight actionable set-ups within the Consumer Discretionary, Global Real Estate and Utilities Sectors.

Global equities continue to trend higher following breakouts that have occurred during the past two weeks. Over this timeframe we have been recommending adding exposure to cyclical Sectors and, despite them getting near-term extended, we believe these upside moves are likely just getting going. Additionally, the US dollar is breaking below support and EM equities are breaking above resistance, only adding to our bullish outlook on global equities. We highlight actionable set-ups within the Consumer Discretionary, Global Real Estate and Utilities Sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Still Bullish, But Extended Near-Term

Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Janus Analysis

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Iron Ore, we Hold our nerve</li>
<li>Lithium producers are a Hold</li>
<li>Lithium Explorers are a Sell</li>
<li>Palladium structural deficit continues to grow</li>
<li>Platinum surplus increasing</li>
<li>NdPr in structural deficit</li>
<li>China will continue to control LREE supply</li>
<li>Insufficient LREE supply will diminish global EV industry soon</li>
<li>Critical REEs (not all) readjusting to higher price plateaus</li>
</ul>


Iron Ore, we Hold our nerve
Lithium producers are a Hold
Lithium Explorers are a Sell
Palladium structural deficit continues to grow
Platinum surplus increasing
NdPr in structural deficit
China will continue to control LREE supply
Insufficient LREE supply will diminish global EV industry soon
Critical REEs (not all) readjusting to higher price plateaus


New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 28/06/19)

Australia

Silver Lake Resources Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company is focused on gold exploration in Western Australia.

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Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)

Value Remains Leadership; Actionable Ideas: Energy, Financials, Industrials, and Materials

We are sticking with Sectors and stocks that have remained technically sound throughout this correction, not on areas that are just now spiking...

Vermilion Research

Bardoc - St Barbara Merger: Scheme Booklet Out; Still Wide + ASX200 Index Kicker

The Scheme Booklet for the Bardoc Gold - St Barbara Deal was published today. The Scheme Meeting will be held on 30th March 2022. I expect the Deal...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Global Equity Strategy: Stick With Technology

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Still Bullish, But Extended Near-Term

Global equities continue to trend higher following breakouts that have occurred during the past two weeks. Over this timeframe we have been...

Vermilion Research

New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 28/06/19)

Iron Ore, we Hold our nerve Lithium producers are a Hold Lithium Explorers are a Sell Palladium structural deficit continues to grow Platinum...

Gaius King

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