China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese economy.  Markets around the world dropped significantly when it became apparent that Trump was the likely winner but have recovered most of those losses since.  There remains, however, enormous questions about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China.It is very difficult to know with any certainty what a Trump presidency will mean…

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese economy.  Markets around the world dropped significantly when it became apparent that Trump was the likely winner but have recovered most of those losses since.  There remains, however, enormous questions about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China.It is very difficult to know with any certainty what a Trump presidency will mean…

How a Trump Presidency Might Be Good for the Chinese Economy

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By far the prospects of economic expansion seem not to be dimmed but the recent activity of unleashing debt into the market do suggest that the sudden increased economic activity is indeed temporary.The main industries once again have spurred growth, inevitably due to the current fiscal stimulus. The steel industry is still struggling to maintain its…

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By far the prospects of economic expansion seem not to be dimmed but the recent activity of unleashing debt into the market do suggest that the sudden increased economic activity is indeed temporary.The main industries once again have spurred growth, inevitably due to the current fiscal stimulus. The steel industry is still struggling to maintain its…

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping, basic commodity prices like steel, iron ore, and coal have been soaring.  Given the ongoing slowdown, this seems puzzling but it may owe more to fundamental sources, albeit credit driven, than understood.While many Chinese industries suffered this year due to slow economic downturn, it looks like coal is recuperating due to increased consumption in…

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping, basic commodity prices like steel, iron ore, and coal have been soaring.  Given the ongoing slowdown, this seems puzzling but it may owe more to fundamental sources, albeit credit driven, than understood.While many Chinese industries suffered this year due to slow economic downturn, it looks like coal is recuperating due to increased consumption in…

What's Driving Changes to Chinese Coal and Steel Prices?

Chinese trade data is out and it is very difficult to spin these numbers as anything less than very disappointing.  Arguably the best thing that can be said is that the rate of decline in trade value is slowing though there is no real evidence of a sustained reversal.If we look at the imports and exports in either USD or RMB terms, there is very little reason for encouragement.  On a year over year basis, USD imports and exports are down 10% and 2% respectively while in RMB imports were up…

Chinese trade data is out and it is very difficult to spin these numbers as anything less than very disappointing.  Arguably the best thing that can be said is that the rate of decline in trade value is slowing though there is no real evidence of a sustained reversal.If we look at the imports and exports in either USD or RMB terms, there is very little reason for encouragement.  On a year over year basis, USD imports and exports are down 10% and 2% respectively while in RMB imports were up…

Chinese Trade Data Recap: It Isn't Pretty

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In our update yesterday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters," target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters,</a> we looked at the Chinese port on macro basis. We had cautioned against bottom-fishing based on past valuation multiples. Investors are more likely to pick up Chinese port operators with greater unrewarded risks than for the port companies overseas.In this update we highlight that there are little signs of green shoots for mainland Chinese operators with laggard throughput growth across the three economic regions: Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Bohai Rim.

In our update yesterday, https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters, we looked at the Chinese port on macro basis. We had cautioned against bottom-fishing based on past valuation multiples. Investors are more likely to pick up Chinese port operators with greater unrewarded risks than for the port companies overseas.In this update we highlight that there are little signs of green shoots for mainland Chinese operators with laggard throughput growth across the three economic regions: Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Bohai Rim.

DMER - Chinese Port Operators 2.0 - Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Bohai Rim, HK Update.

China

Sinopec Engineering (Group) Co., Ltd. provides petrochemical engineering and construction services.

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Sinopec Engineering Group H (2386 HK)

How a Trump Presidency Might Be Good for the Chinese Economy

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese...

Christopher Balding

Early Look at October Chinese PMI

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By...

Christopher Balding

What's Driving Changes to Chinese Coal and Steel Prices?

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping,...

Christopher Balding

Chinese Trade Data Recap: It Isn't Pretty

Chinese trade data is out and it is very difficult to spin these numbers as anything less than very disappointing. Arguably the best thing that...

Christopher Balding

DMER - Chinese Port Operators 2.0 - Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Bohai Rim, HK Update.

In our update yesterday, https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters, we looked at the...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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52-week Range

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