Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils values mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, even as they remain down from recent highs in Q2 2025.</li><li>Firm base oils margins coincide with strong diesel premium to crude oil that incentivizes refiners to boost output of the motor fuel.</li><li>Any such move would likely impact light-grade base oils more than heavy grades, whose firm margins incentivize refiners to maintain high output of the product.</li></ul>

Global base oils values mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, even as they remain down from recent highs in Q2 2025.Firm base oils margins coincide with strong diesel premium to crude oil that incentivizes refiners to boost output of the motor fuel.Any such move would likely impact light-grade base oils more than heavy grades, whose firm margins incentivize refiners to maintain high output of the product.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 July

<ul><li>US Group II export base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil starts Q3 2025 at slightly lower levels than at start of Q3 2024.</li><li>In Q3 2024, US base oils price premium to VGO extends rise after surging from end-Q1 2024.</li><li>US base oils price-premium to VGO extends surge in Q3 2024 even with less feasible arbitrage to outlets like Europe, Middle East and India.</li></ul>

US Group II export base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil starts Q3 2025 at slightly lower levels than at start of Q3 2024.In Q3 2024, US base oils price premium to VGO extends rise after surging from end-Q1 2024.US base oils price-premium to VGO extends surge in Q3 2024 even with less feasible arbitrage to outlets like Europe, Middle East and India.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 July

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil price stays at elevated levels for heavy grades, lower-than-usual levels for light grades.</li><li>Base oils margins incentivize refiners to maintain higher production levels for heavy grades, and to consider adjusting production levels for light grades.</li><li>Any such moves to maintain or adjust output would coincide with rise in regional production capacity following completion of most plant-maintenance work.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil price stays at elevated levels for heavy grades, lower-than-usual levels for light grades.Base oils margins incentivize refiners to maintain higher production levels for heavy grades, and to consider adjusting production levels for light grades.Any such moves to maintain or adjust output would coincide with rise in regional production capacity following completion of most plant-maintenance work.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 7 July

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could weaken in coming weeks amid seasonal slowdown in consumption.</li><li>Signs of more prolonged and widespread drop in regional lube consumption from year-earlier levels would magnify impact of seasonal slowdown.</li><li>Weaker demand in recent months cushions impact of tighter regional supply during that period.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could weaken in coming weeks amid seasonal slowdown in consumption.Signs of more prolonged and widespread drop in regional lube consumption from year-earlier levels would magnify impact of seasonal slowdown.Weaker demand in recent months cushions impact of tighter regional supply during that period.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 7 July

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 156 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.4% as of Jul 4th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China Zheshang Bank, China Everbright Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 156 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.4% as of Jul 4th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China Zheshang Bank, China Everbright Bank.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 4th): ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China Zheshang Bank

China

Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation provides oilfield services. The services include geophysics, drilling engineering, logging and mud logging, special downhole operations, engineering construction, oil field service and offshore oil projects.

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Sinopec Oilfield Service H (1033 HK)

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 July

Global base oils values mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, even as they remain down from recent highs in Q2 2025. Firm base...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 July

US Group II export base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil starts Q3 2025 at slightly lower levels than at start of Q3 2024. In Q3 2024, US base...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 7 July

Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil price stays at elevated levels for heavy grades, lower-than-usual levels for light grades. Base...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 7 July

Asia’s base oils demand could weaken in coming weeks amid seasonal slowdown in consumption. Signs of more prolonged and widespread drop in...

Base Oil News

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 4th): ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China Zheshang Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)