Freelance Research Analyst

Tay Hock Meng

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The latest flash estimate releases of the private and HDB residential market statistics paint a mixed picture on the general market conditions for housing in Singapore. On one hand, while real estate prices in the private residential market have declined by 0.7% on a quarterly basis in 1Q2016, HDB resale market prices declined at a slower pace of 0.1% on a quarterly basis during the same quarter. Home buyers will be asking themselves whether 2016 could be a year of bargains, while home sellers will be wondering when will there be a recovery in real estate prices. With no end in sight of the removal, or tweaking the ongoing property cooling measures, market participants have all the reasons to be concerned about how real estate prices will fare in 2016

The latest flash estimate releases of the private and HDB residential market statistics paint a mixed picture on the general market conditions for housing in Singapore. On one hand, while real estate prices in the private residential market have declined by 0.7% on a quarterly basis in 1Q2016, HDB resale market prices declined at a slower pace of 0.1% on a quarterly basis during the same quarter. Home buyers will be asking themselves whether 2016 could be a year of bargains, while home sellers will be wondering when will there be a recovery in real estate prices. With no end in sight of the removal, or tweaking the ongoing property cooling measures, market participants have all the reasons to be concerned about how real estate prices will fare in 2016

What Lies Ahead for Singapore's Residential Real Estate Market in 2016

Special Situations, Content Strategist, Smartkarma

Crispin Francis

Special Situations, Content Strategist

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

The new MAS regulations for SREITs kicked in earlier this year. Will this be a catalyst for mergers between SREITs? If a merger does happen between two SREITs, it will be the first ever.In this insight we discuss the viability of an SREIT consolidation wave and look at potential takeover targets that may be susceptible to a takeover.

The new MAS regulations for SREITs kicked in earlier this year. Will this be a catalyst for mergers between SREITs? If a merger does happen between two SREITs, it will be the first ever.In this insight we discuss the viability of an SREIT consolidation wave and look at potential takeover targets that may be susceptible to a takeover.

Residential properties in Singapore suffered its 10th consecutive quarterly decline in prices as shown in the latest flash estimates by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA). The overall quarterly private residential property price index declined by 0.7% in 1Q2016 ending March 31, 2016 compared to a 0.5% decline in the final quarter of 2015. Overall, from its peaks in 2013, residential property prices have declined by almost 9%. The successive rounds of residential property price declines are expected to continue given that the Finance Minister, Heng Swee Kiat has ruled out any removal of property cooling measures as per the Budget 2016 statement he made in Parliament on March 24.

Residential properties in Singapore suffered its 10th consecutive quarterly decline in prices as shown in the latest flash estimates by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA). The overall quarterly private residential property price index declined by 0.7% in 1Q2016 ending March 31, 2016 compared to a 0.5% decline in the final quarter of 2015. Overall, from its peaks in 2013, residential property prices have declined by almost 9%. The successive rounds of residential property price declines are expected to continue given that the Finance Minister, Heng Swee Kiat has ruled out any removal of property cooling measures as per the Budget 2016 statement he made in Parliament on March 24.  

Longest Losing Streak of Home Price Declines in Singapore

Asia's Leading Online Property Group, PropertyGuru

Bjorn Sprengers

Asia's Leading Online Property Group

PropertyGuru

PropertyGuru Pte Ltd owns and operates a real estate property information website. The Company offers facilities to search for condominiums, apartments, Housing and Development Board (HDB) flats, serviced apartments, houses, and commercial properties to rent and buy in Singapore.

There are few locations more aspirational in Singapore for property ownership than Districts 9, 10 and 11. We’ll take a look at the numbers, and see if this is the right time to invest.<ul><li>Prime-location properties in Singapore have taken a hit from cooling measures</li><li>Transaction volumes, especially in flipping activity, have fallen, with only a few bright sparks in recent property launches exciting the market</li><li>Rental prices have fallen 13 percent over 12 quarters, even as volumes have risen on the back of shorter leases and more frequent tenant changeover</li><li>Most market watchers believe the prime property market is entering a trough, and it could be a good time for investors to re-look at this location</li></ul>

There are few locations more aspirational in Singapore for property ownership than Districts 9, 10 and 11. We’ll take a look at the numbers, and see if this is the right time to invest.Prime-location properties in Singapore have taken a hit from cooling measuresTransaction volumes, especially in flipping activity, have fallen, with only a few bright sparks in recent property launches exciting the marketRental prices have fallen 13 percent over 12 quarters, even as volumes have risen on the back of shorter leases and more frequent tenant changeoverMost market watchers believe the prime property market is entering a trough, and it could be a good time for investors to re-look at this location

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul><li>BIS will no longer allow internal modeling for banks to arrive at risk weights</li><li>In all likelihood, there will be a rise in credit risk assets, which is by far the most important category of risk- weighted assets</li><li>The risk is that under new regulations those banks benefiting from internal models to drive their credit risk estimates, will be penalized the most</li><li>Australia's banks stand out as possibly being hardest hit, but we are not convinced</li><li>Hang Seng Bank, is at the other end of the spectrum, and may be less over capitalised than it appears</li></ul>

BIS will no longer allow internal modeling for banks to arrive at risk weightsIn all likelihood, there will be a rise in credit risk assets, which is by far the most important category of risk- weighted assetsThe risk is that under new regulations those banks benefiting from internal models to drive their credit risk estimates, will be penalized the mostAustralia's banks stand out as possibly being hardest hit, but we are not convincedHang Seng Bank, is at the other end of the spectrum, and may be less over capitalised than it appears 

Singapore

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment research industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates under a single network.

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Smartkarma (SK SP)

What Lies Ahead for Singapore's Residential Real Estate Market in 2016

The latest flash estimate releases of the private and HDB residential market statistics paint a mixed picture on the general market conditions for...

Tay Hock Meng

M&A Season for SREITs ?

The new MAS regulations for SREITs kicked in earlier this year. Will this be a catalyst for mergers between SREITs? If a merger does happen between...

Crispin Francis

Longest Losing Streak of Home Price Declines in Singapore

Residential properties in Singapore suffered its 10th consecutive quarterly decline in prices as shown in the latest flash estimates by the Urban...

Tay Hock Meng

Time to Look at Prime Properties?

There are few locations more aspirational in Singapore for property ownership than Districts 9, 10 and 11. We’ll take a look at the numbers, and...

PropertyGuru

Bank Regulatory Changes to Credit Risk

BIS will no longer allow internal modeling for banks to arrive at risk weights In all likelihood, there will be a rise in credit risk assets,...

Daniel Tabbush

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