External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><ul><li>High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.</li><li>Mixed realisation gains QoQ: While energy cost continues to rise QoQ, the industry could not fully pass on the inflation across all regions.</li><li>Cost inflation elevated: We estimate that overall fuel costs would soar 7/42% QoQ/YoY amid rising imported coal and pet coke prices.</li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li> </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div>

High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.Mixed realisation gains QoQ: While energy cost continues to rise QoQ, the industry could not fully pass on the inflation across all regions.Cost inflation elevated: We estimate that overall fuel costs would soar 7/42% QoQ/YoY amid rising imported coal and pet coke prices. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement - Cost Inflation Continues, Margin Contracts

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

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Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Weak seasonal demand and decline in prices against the backdrop of high input costs would mean muted realizations</li><li>The trend in cement pricing has been discouraging so far.</li><li>The news regarding CCI’s investigation on cement companies might be a factor for subdued pricing.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Weak seasonal demand and decline in prices against the backdrop of high input costs would mean muted realizationsThe trend in cement pricing has been discouraging so far.The news regarding CCI’s investigation on cement companies might be a factor for subdued pricing.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement Sector - Elevated Energy Costs to Weigh on Margins

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Summary of change in recommendation of our coverage universe: We have cut targets prices for our covered companies by 10-30% on account of reduced earnings expectations as well as lower target multiples.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Near term earnings outlook weak and positive triggers missing: We expect earnings to remain weak for the cement sector for the next two quarters on account of elevated costs and weak realizations amid a seasonally weak demand period.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Reversal in coal and crude prices can offer some solace: We believe that high competitive intensity will subside once the inflationary pressures recede and hence reversal of higher coal and crude prices is important.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Summary of change in recommendation of our coverage universe: We have cut targets prices for our covered companies by 10-30% on account of reduced earnings expectations as well as lower target multiples.Near term earnings outlook weak and positive triggers missing: We expect earnings to remain weak for the cement sector for the next two quarters on account of elevated costs and weak realizations amid a seasonally weak demand period.Reversal in coal and crude prices can offer some solace: We believe that high competitive intensity will subside once the inflationary pressures recede and hence reversal of higher coal and crude prices is important.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement Sector - Headwinds Galore; Turning 'neutral' on the Sector

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Revenue increased by 24% YoY/35% QoQ to Rs7.5bn. Volumes sharply rose 27% YoY/ 32% QoQ to 1.15mt, owing to a low base.</li><li>EBITDA increased 9% YoY/68% QoQ to Rs1.1bn, while EBITDA/ton fell 15% YoY/rose 27% QoQ to Rs983, owing to lower realization.</li><li>Project updates: 1) Management expects to receive environmental clearance for a 3mt clinker plant in Meghalaya by the end of May’22. </li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li><div><div><div><div><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li> </li></ul></div></div></div></div></li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Revenue increased by 24% YoY/35% QoQ to Rs7.5bn. Volumes sharply rose 27% YoY/ 32% QoQ to 1.15mt, owing to a low base.EBITDA increased 9% YoY/68% QoQ to Rs1.1bn, while EBITDA/ton fell 15% YoY/rose 27% QoQ to Rs983, owing to lower realization.Project updates: 1) Management expects to receive environmental clearance for a 3mt clinker plant in Meghalaya by the end of May’22.  Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Star Cement - In-Line Quarter; Cost Headwinds Ahead

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 performance: In 4QFY22, the company reported volume growth of 27% YoY (up by 33% QoQ) at 1.15mn mt, which was 20.1% above our estimate.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Higher domestic coal sourcing will keep costs lower for STRCEM: The company has used low-cost coal inventory, which was available from CIL (~200k mt). It has a long-term FSA with CIL for 150k mt of coal on an annual basis at a fixed price, which will mitigate the risk of price hikes in the future.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Capex and expansion plan: A 3mn mt clinker unit in Meghalaya and a 2mn mt grinding unit in Guwahati are expected to be commissioned by the end of CY23.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 performance: In 4QFY22, the company reported volume growth of 27% YoY (up by 33% QoQ) at 1.15mn mt, which was 20.1% above our estimate.Higher domestic coal sourcing will keep costs lower for STRCEM: The company has used low-cost coal inventory, which was available from CIL (~200k mt). It has a long-term FSA with CIL for 150k mt of coal on an annual basis at a fixed price, which will mitigate the risk of price hikes in the future.Capex and expansion plan: A 3mn mt clinker unit in Meghalaya and a 2mn mt grinding unit in Guwahati are expected to be commissioned by the end of CY23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Star Cement Ltd -  Volume Growth Finally Kicks In, Driving Earnings Beat

India

Star Cement Limited manufactures construction materials. The Company produces and markets cement and concrete products. Star Cement serves customers in India.

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Star Cement Ltd (STRCEM IN)

Cement - Cost Inflation Continues, Margin Contracts

High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.

HDFC Securities

Cement Sector - Elevated Energy Costs to Weigh on Margins

1QFY23 earnings for the cement sector will be muted as we expect margin pressure to continue in the near term due to higher operating costs,...

Nirmal Bang

Cement Sector - Headwinds Galore; Turning 'neutral' on the Sector

We are turning ‘neutral’ on the cement sector as we believe that there are multiple headwinds, which will inhibit earnings growth and in turn lead...

Nirmal Bang

Star Cement - In-Line Quarter; Cost Headwinds Ahead

Star Cement’s Q4FY22 EBITDA increased 9% YoY/68% QoQ to Rs1.1bn, broadly in line with our and consensus estimates. EBITDA/ton declined 15% YoY to...

Emkay

Star Cement Ltd - Volume Growth Finally Kicks In, Driving Earnings Beat

Star Cement reported good set of numbers for 4QFY22, primarily driven by better-than-expected volume as overall volume growth was propelled by the...

Nirmal Bang

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