Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Starbucks continues to demonstrate a robust recovery in its domestic territory, with International (Ex-China) playing catch up.</li><li>The focal point of Q2 earnings, however, was the temporal deterioration of the China business.</li><li>Plagued so badly by zero-covid policy closures, the contagion from the China arm of the business resulted in <strong>Starbucks withdrawing guidance for the remainder of the year.</strong></li></ul>

Starbucks continues to demonstrate a robust recovery in its domestic territory, with International (Ex-China) playing catch up.The focal point of Q2 earnings, however, was the temporal deterioration of the China business.Plagued so badly by zero-covid policy closures, the contagion from the China arm of the business resulted in Starbucks withdrawing guidance for the remainder of the year.

<ul><li>This morning I had two of my larger holdings, Starbucks and Twitter, become embroiled in headlines. It was announced this morning that Twitter has a new shareholder, Elon Musk</li><li>And Starbucks would be axing their $20B buyback program as Howard Schultz looks to make a stamp on his welcoming party.</li><li>Shares of Twitter were trading as high as +26% in the early pre-market hours this morning, after an SEC filing from Twitter shows that Elon Musk, founder and current CEO of Tesla has acquired a "passive" but sizeable 9.2% ownership stake of Twitter (~73.5M shares).</li></ul>

This morning I had two of my larger holdings, Starbucks and Twitter, become embroiled in headlines. It was announced this morning that Twitter has a new shareholder, Elon MuskAnd Starbucks would be axing their $20B buyback program as Howard Schultz looks to make a stamp on his welcoming party.Shares of Twitter were trading as high as +26% in the early pre-market hours this morning, after an SEC filing from Twitter shows that Elon Musk, founder and current CEO of Tesla has acquired a "passive" but sizeable 9.2% ownership stake of Twitter (~73.5M shares).

Elon Buys 9.2% of Twitter, and Starbucks Suspend $20B Buyback Program

<ul>
<li>A quick memo this morning, as I perused the headlines and found that Howard Schultz, founder and two-time CEO of Starbucks, will be coming back to the company</li>
<li>The transition will be effective on April 4th, and Howard is expected to assist with succession planning</li>
<li>I am a big fan of Schultz, having read both ‘Pour Your Heart into It’ and ‘Onward’ in my younger years</li>
</ul>


A quick memo this morning, as I perused the headlines and found that Howard Schultz, founder and two-time CEO of Starbucks, will be coming back to the company
The transition will be effective on April 4th, and Howard is expected to assist with succession planning
I am a big fan of Schultz, having read both ‘Pour Your Heart into It’ and ‘Onward’ in my younger years


<ul><li>As it turns out, management now expects the return to LT EBIT margins to be extended out to 2024</li><li>Whilst revenue guidance ($32.5B to $33B) for 2022 has been reaffirmed, both EPS and EBIT expectations were tapered with an expected 200bps of incremental pressure headed their way</li><li>As such, we can expect EBIT to reach 16.5% in 2022 (a slight improvement on 2021), before expanding across both 2023/2024.</li></ul>

As it turns out, management now expects the return to LT EBIT margins to be extended out to 2024Whilst revenue guidance ($32.5B to $33B) for 2022 has been reaffirmed, both EPS and EBIT expectations were tapered with an expected 200bps of incremental pressure headed their wayAs such, we can expect EBIT to reach 16.5% in 2022 (a slight improvement on 2021), before expanding across both 2023/2024.

United States

Starbucks Corporation retails, roasts, and provides its own brand of specialty coffee. The Company operates retail locations worldwide and sells whole bean coffees through its sales group, direct response business, supermarkets, and on the World Wide Web. Starbucks also produces and sells bottled coffee drinks and a line of ice creams.

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Starbucks Corp (SBUX US)

SBUX: "We're Playing the Long Game"

Starbucks continues to demonstrate a robust recovery in its domestic territory, with International (Ex-China) playing catch up.

Investment Talk

Elon Buys 9.2% of Twitter, and Starbucks Suspend $20B Buyback Program

This morning I had two of my larger holdings, Starbucks and Twitter, become embroiled in headlines. It was announced this morning that Twitter has...

Investment Talk

SBUX: Howard Schultz is BACK

A quick memo this morning, as I perused the headlines and found that Howard Schultz, founder and two-time CEO of Starbucks, will be coming back to...

Investment Talk

SBUX: Union, What Union?

As it turns out, management now expects the return to LT EBIT margins to be extended out to 2024. Whilst revenue guidance ($32.5B to $33B) for 2022...

Investment Talk

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