Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>If all of the publicly announced sovereign AI initiatives come to pass, they could account for upwards of $1 trillion in AI infrastructure spending through 2030</li>
<li>For now, "sovereign" AI means mostly means made in the USA. However, there a growing demand for "sovereign" AI from China, particularly among countries disillusioned by the US trade wars</li>
<li>In general AI infrastructure, the US is outspending China six to one in 2025. Could one be spending too much and the other spending too little? Let's see... </li>
</ul>


If all of the publicly announced sovereign AI initiatives come to pass, they could account for upwards of $1 trillion in AI infrastructure spending through 2030
For now, "sovereign" AI means mostly means made in the USA. However, there a growing demand for "sovereign" AI from China, particularly among countries disillusioned by the US trade wars
In general AI infrastructure, the US is outspending China six to one in 2025. Could one be spending too much and the other spending too little? Let's see... 


Sovereign AI. National Strategic Imperative, FOMO Or Both?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD1,352.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,460mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD1,352.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,460mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 3rd): TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated short interest was USD26.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology, Alchip Technologies, Sinopac Financial, Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology, Alchip Technologies, Sinopac Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated short interest was USD26.6bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology, Alchip Technologies, Sinopac Financial, Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology, Alchip Technologies, Sinopac Financial.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +26.8% Premium; Remains at Historical Extreme; Earnings Release Ahead</li>
<li>ChipMOS: +1.3% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread</li>
<li>CHT: -1.0% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +26.8% Premium; Remains at Historical Extreme; Earnings Release Ahead
ChipMOS: +1.3% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread
CHT: -1.0% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High Ahead of 3Q Results; CHT Rare ADR Discount

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.


Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Sovereign AI. National Strategic Imperative, FOMO Or Both?

In general AI infrastructure, the US is outspending China six to one in 2025. Could one be spending too much and the other spending too little?...

William Keating

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 3rd): TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), MediaTek (2454 TT), Hon Hai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lite-On Technology (2301 TT), Elite Material...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High Ahead of 3Q Results; CHT Rare ADR Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

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