Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Starlink Engaged with Chipmakers to Bring  Satellite Connectivity Direct to Smartphones -- Mediatek Well Placed to Benefit</li>
<li>Intel CFO @ Citi’s 2025 Global TMT Conference: "We Will Use TSMC Forever"</li>
<li>TSMC’s COUPE Signals Silicon Photonics Go-Time — Early Winners in Taiwan’s Listed Supply Chain </li>
</ul>


Starlink Engaged with Chipmakers to Bring  Satellite Connectivity Direct to Smartphones -- Mediatek Well Placed to Benefit
Intel CFO @ Citi’s 2025 Global TMT Conference: "We Will Use TSMC Forever"
TSMC’s COUPE Signals Silicon Photonics Go-Time — Early Winners in Taiwan’s Listed Supply Chain 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Starlink Engaging Chipmakers in Direct-To-Phone Push; Intel's TSMC Dependency

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Derivatives

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>1-Week directional forecast for the Asian indices and stocks we track, based on our proprietary probability model.</li>
<li>OVERBOUGHT:  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI Index</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> .</li>
<li>OVERSOLD: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD Company (1211 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 INDEX</a> .</li>
</ul>


1-Week directional forecast for the Asian indices and stocks we track, based on our proprietary probability model.
OVERBOUGHT:  Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) , Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) , Softbank Group (9984 JP) , HSI Index , KOSPI 200 INDEX , Nikkei 225 .
OVERSOLD: BYD Company (1211 HK) , S&amp;P/ASX 200 INDEX .


Asia/Pacific Stocks Outlook For the Week Sep 15-19

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +24.4% Premium: Remains at Level to Short the ADR Spread</li>
<li>ASE: 0.0% (Parity); Open Fresh Longs Here or at a Discount</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -1.9% Discount; Near Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +24.4% Premium: Remains at Level to Short the ADR Spread
ASE: 0.0% (Parity); Open Fresh Longs Here or at a Discount
ChipMOS: -1.9% Discount; Near Level to Go Long the Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Extreme Level; ASE Spread Hits Parity; ChipMOS Near Long Level

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.25% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$3bn. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> is the largest impact passive sell. </li>
<li>There will be more flows in a lot of these stocks from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> at the close on Friday.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.25% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$3bn. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) is the largest impact passive sell. 
There will be more flows in a lot of these stocks from Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) at the close on Friday.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$3bn Trade

<ul>
<li>TI is experiencing 50%+ YoY growth in data center, showing no signs of AI server demand slowdown.</li>
<li>KLA calls 2nm a “compelling” node, projecting it could be the industry’s largest over first three years.</li>
<li>Taiwan Tech positioned to benefit via TSMC N2 ramp, CoWoS packaging, and ABF substrate expansion.</li>
</ul>


TI is experiencing 50%+ YoY growth in data center, showing no signs of AI server demand slowdown.
KLA calls 2nm a “compelling” node, projecting it could be the industry’s largest over first three years.
Taiwan Tech positioned to benefit via TSMC N2 ramp, CoWoS packaging, and ABF substrate expansion.


Texas Instruments & KLA Signal Continued AI Strength, Foreshadow TSMC’s 2nm Breakout

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Starlink Engaging Chipmakers in Direct-To-Phone Push; Intel's TSMC Dependency

Starlink collaborating with chipmakers for satellite connectivity on smartphones. Intel's TSMC dependency. TSMC signals growth in silicon...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asia/Pacific Stocks Outlook For the Week Sep 15-19

Our weekly stocks outlook directional forecast, generated with on our proprietary probability models. Overbought markets are expected to go down,...

Nico Rosti

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Extreme Level; ASE Spread Hits Parity; ChipMOS Near Long Level

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$3bn Trade

Capping and float changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.25% and a US$3bn trade for the SMH ETF in Sep. There will be more flows in the stocks...

Brian Freitas

Texas Instruments & KLA Signal Continued AI Strength, Foreshadow TSMC’s 2nm Breakout

TI's data center growth remains strong with 50% YoY growth, KLA sees potential in 2nm node to be the largest ever, Taiwan Tech set to benefit from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Starlink Engaging Chipmakers in Direct-To-Phone Push; Intel's TSMC Dependency

​Starlink collaborating with chipmakers for satellite connectivity on smartphones. Intel's TSMC dependency. TSMC signals growth in silicon...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asia/Pacific Stocks Outlook For the Week Sep 15-19

​Our weekly stocks outlook directional forecast, generated with on our proprietary probability models. Overbought markets are expected to go down,...

Nico Rosti

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Extreme Level; ASE Spread Hits Parity; ChipMOS Near Long Level

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$3bn Trade

Capping and float changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.25% and a US$3bn trade for the SMH ETF in Sep. There will be more flows in the stocks...

Brian Freitas

Texas Instruments & KLA Signal Continued AI Strength, Foreshadow TSMC’s 2nm Breakout

​TI's data center growth remains strong with 50% YoY growth, KLA sees potential in 2nm node to be the largest ever, Taiwan Tech set to benefit from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Starlink collaborating with chipmakers for satellite connectivity on smartphones. Intel's TSMC dependency. TSMC signals growth in silicon...

Our weekly stocks outlook directional forecast, generated with on our proprietary probability models. Overbought markets are expected to go down,...

TI's data center growth remains strong with 50% YoY growth, KLA sees potential in 2nm node to be the largest ever, Taiwan Tech set to benefit from...