Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a> offers digital customer experience solutions for innovative technology and blue-chip companies and has global client base including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airbnb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:431:1" rel="noopener">Airbnb Inc (ABNB US)</a> .</li>
<li>The company’s share price has dropped more than 40% since its IPO as its largest clients were negatively impacted due to the Covid-19 outbreak.</li>
<li>TDCX’s 2Q2022 earnings were strong and the company’s client acquisition strategy is paying off and the share price has moved up 60% since then.</li>
</ul>



TDCX (TDCX US) offers digital customer experience solutions for innovative technology and blue-chip companies and has global client base including Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US) and Airbnb Inc (ABNB US) .
The company’s share price has dropped more than 40% since its IPO as its largest clients were negatively impacted due to the Covid-19 outbreak.
TDCX’s 2Q2022 earnings were strong and the company’s client acquisition strategy is paying off and the share price has moved up 60% since then.


TDCX: Attractive Growth Profile; Drop in Multiples Offer a Good Entry Point

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In response to media reports, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15825:1" rel="noopener">Appen Ltd (APX AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telus-international-cda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35398:1" rel="noopener">Telus International (TIXT US)</a> at A$9.50, a 48.4% premium to the undisturbed price of A$6.40.</li>
<li>Appen also announced a weak trading update. The 1HFY22 EBITDA is expected to be materially lower than the comparable period due to the lower revenue and the ongoing investment. </li>
<li>Subsequently, Appen noted that Telus revoked its indicative proposal. No reason was given for the decision. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to attract suitors. </li>
</ul>


In response to media reports, Appen Ltd (APX AU) disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from Telus International (TIXT US) at A$9.50, a 48.4% premium to the undisturbed price of A$6.40.
Appen also announced a weak trading update. The 1HFY22 EBITDA is expected to be materially lower than the comparable period due to the lower revenue and the ongoing investment. 
Subsequently, Appen noted that Telus revoked its indicative proposal. No reason was given for the decision. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to attract suitors. 


Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telus-international-cda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35398:1" rel="noopener">Telus International (TIXT US)</a> has made an unsolicited, conditional and non-binding indicative proposal to acquire 100% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15825:1" rel="noopener">Appen Ltd (APX AU)</a> at A$9.5/share, valuing the company at A$1.17bn.</li>
<li>The offer is a 48% premium to the last close but a discount to longer-term VWAPs. It should require a bump for the Appen Board to unanimously recommend to shareholders.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15825:1" rel="noopener">Appen Ltd (APX AU)</a> is a potential deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance. Short interest is 10% of shares out. There will be covering.</li>
</ul>



Telus International (TIXT US) has made an unsolicited, conditional and non-binding indicative proposal to acquire 100% of Appen Ltd (APX AU) at A$9.5/share, valuing the company at A$1.17bn.
The offer is a 48% premium to the last close but a discount to longer-term VWAPs. It should require a bump for the Appen Board to unanimously recommend to shareholders.

Appen Ltd (APX AU) is a potential deletion from the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the June rebalance. Short interest is 10% of shares out. There will be covering.


Appen (APX AU): Telus' 48% Premium; 10% Short Interest; Potential ASX200 Deletion

US/Europe Event-Driven Analyst

John DeMasi

<ul>
<li>Singapore-Based private equity firm Capital Square Partners (“CSP”) engineered combination of Aegis Global and “old” Startek in 2018 to create “new” Startek.</li>
<li>Microcap business process outsourcing ("BPO") company runs outsourced customer contact centers, has improving sales and profitability, and a declining stock price.</li>
<li>On 20December2021, CSP disclosed that it had submitted a “preliminary, non-binding proposal” to acquire all outstanding shares of SRT US not already owned by it for $5.40 per share.</li>
</ul>


Singapore-Based private equity firm Capital Square Partners (“CSP”) engineered combination of Aegis Global and “old” Startek in 2018 to create “new” Startek.
Microcap business process outsourcing ("BPO") company runs outsourced customer contact centers, has improving sales and profitability, and a declining stock price.
On 20December2021, CSP disclosed that it had submitted a “preliminary, non-binding proposal” to acquire all outstanding shares of SRT US not already owned by it for $5.40 per share.


Startek Inc. – SRT US 55% Owner Proposes $5.40 Cash Per Share Squeeze Out

Canada

TELUS International (Cda) Inc. provides information technology services. The Company offers application development, infrastructure management, data analysis, engineering, content moderation, and cloud computing solutions. TELUS International (Cda) serves clients worldwide.

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Telus International (TIXT US)

TDCX: Attractive Growth Profile; Drop in Multiples Offer a Good Entry Point

Though TDCX's share price has moved up over the last three weeks, there is further upside as the company's client acquisition has started paying...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Telus pulled its A$9.50 indicative offer likely due to the weak trading update. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to...

Arun George

Appen (APX AU): Telus' 48% Premium; 10% Short Interest; Potential ASX200 Deletion

Telus has made an indicative proposal to acquire 100% of Appen at A$9.5/share, valuing the company at A$1.17bn. Short interest is 10% of shares out...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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TDCX: Attractive Growth Profile; Drop in Multiples Offer a Good Entry Point

Though TDCX's share price has moved up over the last three weeks, there is further upside as the company's client acquisition has started paying...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Telus pulled its A$9.50 indicative offer likely due to the weak trading update. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to...

Arun George

Appen (APX AU): Telus' 48% Premium; 10% Short Interest; Potential ASX200 Deletion

Telus has made an indicative proposal to acquire 100% of Appen at A$9.5/share, valuing the company at A$1.17bn. Short interest is 10% of shares out...

Brian Freitas

Startek Inc. – SRT US 55% Owner Proposes $5.40 Cash Per Share Squeeze Out

Dirt-cheap microcap whose 55% owner wants to take private on the cheap. Shares offer 27% upside to proposed buyout price and more upside if special...

John DeMasi