Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul><li>Tencent is due to release Q1 FY24 results today. The earnings call is scheduled for 14:00 SAST</li><li>In this note, we unpack what is priced and how Tencent has performed relative to constituents in the HSTECH index since our last update (29 April).</li><li>We also provide an update on how the discounts of Naspers and Prosus have traded.</li></ul>

Tencent is due to release Q1 FY24 results today. The earnings call is scheduled for 14:00 SASTIn this note, we unpack what is priced and how Tencent has performed relative to constituents in the HSTECH index since our last update (29 April).We also provide an update on how the discounts of Naspers and Prosus have traded.

Tencent Q1 FY24 Results Due, a Look into What Is Priced

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> reported 1Q2024 results today. Both revenues and OP grew 6.3% and 30.0% YoY respectively and beat consensus estimates.</li>
<li>Though domestic games revenues declined YoY, there were signs of recovery in Tencent’s gaming business. Online advertising saw strong growth despite 1Q being a seasonally weak quarter for Tencent.</li>
<li>Tencent’s investments in high-margin products have helped boost the company’s margins across all business segments.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) reported 1Q2024 results today. Both revenues and OP grew 6.3% and 30.0% YoY respectively and beat consensus estimates.
Though domestic games revenues declined YoY, there were signs of recovery in Tencent’s gaming business. Online advertising saw strong growth despite 1Q being a seasonally weak quarter for Tencent.
Tencent’s investments in high-margin products have helped boost the company’s margins across all business segments.


Tencent: Online Advertising and High-Margin Businesses Support Earnings

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>The operating margin in 1Q24 reached the highest since 2Q16, as the gross margins of all businesses improved.</li>
<li>The growth rate of online advertising is high than our estimate, but the growth rate of FinTech is lower than our estimate.</li>
<li>We believe there is still an upside of 9% and the price target will be HK$415 for the end of 2024.</li>
</ul>


The operating margin in 1Q24 reached the highest since 2Q16, as the gross margins of all businesses improved.
The growth rate of online advertising is high than our estimate, but the growth rate of FinTech is lower than our estimate.
We believe there is still an upside of 9% and the price target will be HK$415 for the end of 2024.


Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24, Highest Margin in Seven Years

<ul>
<li>Tencent reported a decent set of results for Q1 FY24. Revenue for the quarter was up 2.8% QoQ and 6.3% YoY, ahead of consensus estimates (2.3% &amp; 5.9%).</li>
<li>The gross margin came in at 53%, 3 percentage points ahead of consensus, and an increase of 7 percentage points on Q1 FY23.</li>
<li>The gross margin for the Fintech and Business Services segment, which accounts for 33% of revenue, increased by 12 percentage points to 46% (consensus 42.6%).</li>
</ul>


Tencent reported a decent set of results for Q1 FY24. Revenue for the quarter was up 2.8% QoQ and 6.3% YoY, ahead of consensus estimates (2.3% &amp; 5.9%).
The gross margin came in at 53%, 3 percentage points ahead of consensus, and an increase of 7 percentage points on Q1 FY23.
The gross margin for the Fintech and Business Services segment, which accounts for 33% of revenue, increased by 12 percentage points to 46% (consensus 42.6%).


Tencent (700 HK): Q1 FY24 Results Quick Take, Margin Expansion Drives Decent Set of Results

<ul>
<li>We believe total revenue will grow by 7% YoY in 1Q24 and faster in the remaining three quarters of 2024.</li>
<li>We believe EPS will grow by 41% to HK$3.80, which is higher than the market consensus.</li>
<li>The stock has risen by 26% since our last Buy rating, but there is still an upside of 9% till the end of 2024.</li>
</ul>


We believe total revenue will grow by 7% YoY in 1Q24 and faster in the remaining three quarters of 2024.
We believe EPS will grow by 41% to HK$3.80, which is higher than the market consensus.
The stock has risen by 26% since our last Buy rating, but there is still an upside of 9% till the end of 2024.


Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24 Preview, EPS Up by 40%, But Upside Narrowed by Significant Price Rise

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent Q1 FY24 Results Due, a Look into What Is Priced

Tencent is due to release Q1 FY24 results today. The earnings call is scheduled for 14:00 SAST. In this note, we unpack what is priced and how...

DMA

Tencent: Online Advertising and High-Margin Businesses Support Earnings

Tencent's 1Q earnings beat consensus. Though online games declined there were signs of recovery. Online ad saw strong growth despite 1Q being...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24, Highest Margin in Seven Years

The operating margin in 1Q24 reached the highest since 2Q16, as the gross margins of all businesses improved. The growth rate of online advertising...

Ming Lu

Tencent (700 HK): Q1 FY24 Results Quick Take, Margin Expansion Drives Decent Set of Results

Tencent reported a decent set of results for Q1 FY24, driven by notable margin expansion across segments (well ahead of consensus estimates).

DMA

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24 Preview, EPS Up by 40%, But Upside Narrowed by Significant Price Rise

We believe, in 1Q24, rrevenue will grow by 7% YoY and EPS will grow by 41%. The stock has risen by 26% since our last Buy rating, but there is...

Ming Lu

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