Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The management of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings, Inc. (KEEPR PM)</a> highlighted bullish trends from their call for H1 2022 for on-premise and travel retail that bode well for H2 2022.</li>
<li>We believe the company is on the cusp of backward integration by acquiring its supplier, Bodegas William and Humbert (in Spain). We believe this is an exciting future catalyst.</li>
<li>The stock trades at 6x PE FY22e (ex-cash) with seven bn+ pesos of cash on the balance sheet representing 37% of market capitalization. We see significant upside ahead.</li>
</ul>


The management of The Keepers Holdings, Inc. (KEEPR PM) highlighted bullish trends from their call for H1 2022 for on-premise and travel retail that bode well for H2 2022.
We believe the company is on the cusp of backward integration by acquiring its supplier, Bodegas William and Humbert (in Spain). We believe this is an exciting future catalyst.
The stock trades at 6x PE FY22e (ex-cash) with seven bn+ pesos of cash on the balance sheet representing 37% of market capitalization. We see significant upside ahead.


Keepers Holdings: Exciting Soundbites From Management Call for H1 2022

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings, Inc. (KEEPR PM)</a>, the largest imported spirit distributor in the Philippines with &gt;70% marketshare, now trades at 9.1x/7.6x FY22/FY23e with a 15-20% CAGR revenue/profit growth profile.</li>
<li>The company has almost 50% of its market capitalization in cash, and we believe it is at the cusp of making an acquisition, making it more integrated. </li>
<li>We believe for the Q2 2022 results ( released before the 15th of August ), the company will continue to show a growth profit trajectory of &gt;20% and execute well.</li>
</ul>



The Keepers Holdings, Inc. (KEEPR PM), the largest imported spirit distributor in the Philippines with &gt;70% marketshare, now trades at 9.1x/7.6x FY22/FY23e with a 15-20% CAGR revenue/profit growth profile.
The company has almost 50% of its market capitalization in cash, and we believe it is at the cusp of making an acquisition, making it more integrated. 
We believe for the Q2 2022 results ( released before the 15th of August ), the company will continue to show a growth profit trajectory of &gt;20% and execute well.


Keepers Holdings: 4.5x PE (Ex-Cash), Cash 50% of Mkt Cap, Structural Double Digit Growth

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings, Inc. (KEEPR PM)</a> is a play on the imported liquor distribution business in the Philippines, with a &gt;74% marketshare conservatively growing at 12-15% CAGR.</li>
<li>Trading at 11.5x/10.0x FY21/22 PE with 35% of the market capitalization in cash ( implying an ex-cash PE of 7.5x), the stock is cheap with a significant margin of safety. </li>
<li>Value enhancing asset injection angle with potential for the chairman Lucio Co to inject his Bodegas William and Humbers (W&amp;H) stake into the listco.</li>
</ul>



The Keepers Holdings, Inc. (KEEPR PM) is a play on the imported liquor distribution business in the Philippines, with a &gt;74% marketshare conservatively growing at 12-15% CAGR.
Trading at 11.5x/10.0x FY21/22 PE with 35% of the market capitalization in cash ( implying an ex-cash PE of 7.5x), the stock is cheap with a significant margin of safety. 
Value enhancing asset injection angle with potential for the chairman Lucio Co to inject his Bodegas William and Humbers (W&amp;H) stake into the listco.


Keepers Holdings: Cheap Consumption Multibagger in the Philippines

Pan-Asia Equity Bottom-up, Wickhams Hill

Lloyd Moffatt

Pan-Asia Equity Bottom-up

Cisarua Mountain Dairy / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>A deeper look into Cisarua Mountain Dairy – Cimory (CMRY IJ) since we initially highlighted the deal in Issue 8 revealed that is business is not nearly attractive as it appeared</li><li>Cosco’s spin-off of liquor distribution subsidiary Keepers (KEEPR PM) has received strong investor demand following a move to reprice the offering 25% below the low end of the original range</li><li>Robinsons Land (RLC PM) announced a P3bn buyback that’s equivalent to around 3% of their market cap</li></ul>

A deeper look into Cisarua Mountain Dairy – Cimory (CMRY IJ) since we initially highlighted the deal in Issue 8 revealed that is business is not nearly attractive as it appearedCosco’s spin-off of liquor distribution subsidiary Keepers (KEEPR PM) has received strong investor demand following a move to reprice the offering 25% below the low end of the original rangeRobinsons Land (RLC PM) announced a P3bn buyback that’s equivalent to around 3% of their market cap

Wickhams Hill Research | Under-The-Radar Issue 12

Philippines

Keepers Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of liquor such as wine, spirits, and other beverages. Keepers Holdings serves customers in Philippine.

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The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)

Keepers Holdings: Exciting Soundbites From Management Call for H1 2022

Keepers Holdings trades at 6x PE FY22e (ex-cash) with seven bn+ pesos of cash on the balance sheet representing 37% of market capitalization. We...

Sameer Taneja

Keepers Holdings: 4.5x PE (Ex-Cash), Cash 50% of Mkt Cap, Structural Double Digit Growth

The Keepers Holdings, Inc., the largest imported spirit distributor in the Philippines with >70% marketshare, now trades at 9.1x FY22e (4.5x ex...

Sameer Taneja

Keepers Holdings: Cheap Consumption Multibagger in the Philippines

Trading at 11.5x/10.0x FY21/22 PE with 35% of the market capitalization in cash ( implying an ex-cash PE of 7.5x), Keepers Holdings is a great...

Sameer Taneja

Wickhams Hill Research | Under-The-Radar Issue 12

A deeper look into Cisarua Mountain Dairy – Cimory (CMRY IJ) since we initially highlighted the deal in Issue 8 revealed that is business is not...

Lloyd Moffatt

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