Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent (TRENT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ltimindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22778:1" rel="noopener">LTIMindtree (LTIM IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/divi-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4871:1" rel="noopener">Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the close on 27 September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade at least 5 days of ADV and over 11 days of delivery volume in the stocks.</li>
<li>All the index changes are also changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and there will be opposing flows (though much smaller in size) for the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Trent (TRENT IN) and Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) will replace LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) and Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the close on 27 September.
Passive trackers will need to trade at least 5 days of ADV and over 11 days of delivery volume in the stocks.
All the index changes are also changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and there will be opposing flows (though much smaller in size) for the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/v-mart-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1987:1" rel="noopener">V-Mart Retail (VMART IN)</a>  is an omni-channel value retailer, providing a range of products aimed at Bharat’s middle and lower middle class</li>
<li>The company has implemented a cluster strategy that has supported its expansion across India. In FY24, V-Mart opened 46 new stores nationwide.</li>
<li>Being over-indexed to value, V-MART has posted slower revenue growth compared to the recent past. New Warehouse and tigher control over inventory could boost cashflows further. </li>
</ul>



V-Mart Retail (VMART IN)  is an omni-channel value retailer, providing a range of products aimed at Bharat’s middle and lower middle class
The company has implemented a cluster strategy that has supported its expansion across India. In FY24, V-Mart opened 46 new stores nationwide.
Being over-indexed to value, V-MART has posted slower revenue growth compared to the recent past. New Warehouse and tigher control over inventory could boost cashflows further. 


Narrative and Numbers | V-Mart Retail (VMART IN) | FY24

<ul>
<li>With 3 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 18% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 55bn (US$660m). 9 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>All the deletes are F&amp;O members while most adds are not. NSE Indices may have to revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.</li>
</ul>


With 3 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 18% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 55bn (US$660m). 9 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
All the deletes are F&amp;O members while most adds are not. NSE Indices may have to revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shoppers-stop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12804:1" rel="noopener">Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)</a> is a leading retailer in India specializing in fashion and beauty brands with 12 department stores, 7 premium home stores, and 87 specialty beauty outlets,</li>
<li>SHOP has also launched its value retail format INTUNE in June 2023 generating excitement and interest around the same. </li>
<li>It seems SHOP is trying to play all cards of the retail game, i.e., premium, beauty, and value fast fashion, but so far has shown no signs of success.</li>
</ul>



Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) is a leading retailer in India specializing in fashion and beauty brands with 12 department stores, 7 premium home stores, and 87 specialty beauty outlets,
SHOP has also launched its value retail format INTUNE in June 2023 generating excitement and interest around the same. 
It seems SHOP is trying to play all cards of the retail game, i.e., premium, beauty, and value fast fashion, but so far has shown no signs of success.


Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> is a leading retail company in India known for its diverse range of fashion and lifestyle brands like Westside and Zudio. </li>
<li>With its own labels, operating efficiencies, and leverage at work, Trent has been able to expand its margins substantially. </li>
<li>We anticipate the strong operational performance to continue. We believe it will take a couple of years for peers to catch up to Trent's execution prowess.</li>
</ul>



Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) is a leading retail company in India known for its diverse range of fashion and lifestyle brands like Westside and Zudio. 
With its own labels, operating efficiencies, and leverage at work, Trent has been able to expand its margins substantially. 
We anticipate the strong operational performance to continue. We believe it will take a couple of years for peers to catch up to Trent's execution prowess.


Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

India

Trent Limited operates a chain of retail stores that sell fashion apparel, cosmetics, perfumery products and toiletry items. The Company sells apparel for men, women and children. Trent sells its cosmetics products under the "Westside" and "Trent" brand names.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace LTIM and Divi Lab in the NIFTY50. There is over 5x ADV/11x delivery volume to trade in the stocks. There...

Brian Freitas

Narrative and Numbers | V-Mart Retail (VMART IN) | FY24

V-Mart Retail targets Bharat's middle class with omni-channel strategy, slower revenue growth due to focus on value, expansion with cluster...

Pranav Bhavsar

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

There could be 7 changes for the Nifty Next 50. The addition of non-FnO stocks and deletion of FnO stocks raises index replication issues. Expect...

Brian Freitas

Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Pranav Bhavsar

Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace LTIM and Divi Lab in the NIFTY50. There is over 5x ADV/11x delivery volume to trade in the stocks. There...

Brian Freitas

Narrative and Numbers | V-Mart Retail (VMART IN) | FY24

​V-Mart Retail targets Bharat's middle class with omni-channel strategy, slower revenue growth due to focus on value, expansion with cluster...

Pranav Bhavsar

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

There could be 7 changes for the Nifty Next 50. The addition of non-FnO stocks and deletion of FnO stocks raises index replication issues. Expect...

Brian Freitas

Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

​Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Pranav Bhavsar

Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

​Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...

Pranav Bhavsar

V-Mart Retail targets Bharat's middle class with omni-channel strategy, slower revenue growth due to focus on value, expansion with cluster...

Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...