Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.</li>
<li>Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.</li>
<li>If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!</li>
</ul>


Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.
Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.
If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!


Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

<ul>
<li>We anticipate oil prices to remain within the US$80-$90 range, which will sustain the current uptick in E&amp;P capital expenditure and foster a strong environment for oilfield services firms.</li>
<li>Our peer group continues to trade at deep-value multiples; currently at 4.5x/4.0x 2024E/2025E EBITDA.</li>
<li>We highlight a few of our favourite small-cap names that we believe have significant upside as we move into H2/24.</li>
</ul>


We anticipate oil prices to remain within the US$80-$90 range, which will sustain the current uptick in E&amp;P capital expenditure and foster a strong environment for oilfield services firms.
Our peer group continues to trade at deep-value multiples; currently at 4.5x/4.0x 2024E/2025E EBITDA.
We highlight a few of our favourite small-cap names that we believe have significant upside as we move into H2/24.


<ul><li>We expect oilfield service stocks to continue to outperform in 2023 and beyond based on supportive oil price fundamentals, rising capex levels amongst E&amp;Ps, and pricing power leading to margin expansion </li><li>Despite the sector’s strong fundamental tailwinds and the probability for a multi-year commodity supercycle, oilfield service companies are still trading at trough-level multiples In order to end the oil supply deficit, additional rigs are required to be deployed; providing organic growth and pricing power for oilfield service names.</li><li>This will create another year of margin expansion for oilfield service stocks as they take advantage of operating leverage.</li></ul>

We expect oilfield service stocks to continue to outperform in 2023 and beyond based on supportive oil price fundamentals, rising capex levels amongst E&amp;Ps, and pricing power leading to margin expansion Despite the sector’s strong fundamental tailwinds and the probability for a multi-year commodity supercycle, oilfield service companies are still trading at trough-level multiples In order to end the oil supply deficit, additional rigs are required to be deployed; providing organic growth and pricing power for oilfield service names.This will create another year of margin expansion for oilfield service stocks as they take advantage of operating leverage.

Oilfield Services: Another Great Year Ahead

Canada

Trican Well Service Ltd. is pressure pumping company. The Company provides specialized, engineered and integrated solutions to its customers involved in the exploration and development of oil and natural gas reserves. Trican services include fracturing, coiled tubing, cementing, acidizing, nitrogen and industrial services.

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Trican Well Service (TCW CN)

Monday Delight: 24/03/25

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help...

Contrarian Cashflows

Oilfield Services: Still Way Too Cheap

We anticipate oil prices to remain within the US$80-$90 range, which will sustain the current uptick in E&P capital expenditure and foster a strong...

Atrium Research

Oilfield Services: Another Great Year Ahead

We expect oilfield service stocks to continue to outperform in 2023 and beyond based on supportive oil price fundamentals, rising capex levels...

Atrium Research

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