Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tuhu sets up operations in Malaysia, its first overseas expansion outside of Greater China.</li>
<li>We think Tuhu can dominate the market within 3-4 years, as there are no local establishments that can match its infrastructure, know-how, and capital base. </li>
<li>Fair value of HKD23 implies 22x FY26 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.</li>
</ul>


Tuhu sets up operations in Malaysia, its first overseas expansion outside of Greater China.
We think Tuhu can dominate the market within 3-4 years, as there are no local establishments that can match its infrastructure, know-how, and capital base. 
Fair value of HKD23 implies 22x FY26 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.


Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We do not expect any changes for the HSTECH index in December 2024. However, we expect there to be capping flows of US$1,079mn one-way.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.
We do not expect any changes for the HSTECH index in December 2024. However, we expect there to be capping flows of US$1,079mn one-way.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Midea Group Question Mark and Final Rankings for Exp ADDs/DELs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> is poised to capture the lion share of China's automotive aftersales service industry that is forecasted to grow at 7.3% CAGR from 2023:30. </li>
<li>Tuhu is on an inflection of high earnings growth (+30% CAGR) as it has reached scalability, cost efficiency, and its younger shops are maturing profitably.    </li>
<li>Our fair value of HKD24 implies 25x FY25 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.</li>
</ul>



Tuhu Car (9690 HK) is poised to capture the lion share of China's automotive aftersales service industry that is forecasted to grow at 7.3% CAGR from 2023:30. 
Tuhu is on an inflection of high earnings growth (+30% CAGR) as it has reached scalability, cost efficiency, and its younger shops are maturing profitably.    
Our fair value of HKD24 implies 25x FY25 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.


Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

AAC Technologies Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> upcoming inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect  (SSC) platform could provide a tailwind to its share price and the Hong Kong market.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> reported good 1H 2024 results with an increase of 23% in new store openings.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> target price was increased after 1H2024 earnings.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a> ratings were cut after reporting lower 1H24 earnings.  The company omitted its interim dividend.
</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) upcoming inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect  (SSC) platform could provide a tailwind to its share price and the Hong Kong market.


Tuhu Car (9690 HK) reported good 1H 2024 results with an increase of 23% in new store openings.  AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) target price was increased after 1H2024 earnings.


Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK) ratings were cut after reporting lower 1H24 earnings.  The company omitted its interim dividend.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 28)

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>The final results for the June 2024 index rebal event will be confirmed after market close on Friday 17th May 2024.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our latest flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
The final results for the June 2024 index rebal event will be confirmed after market close on Friday 17th May 2024.
In this insight, we take a look at our latest flow expectations.


Quiddity HSTECH Jun 24 Final Expectations: US$1.6bn One-Way; Li Auto, JD, Xiaomi, Meituan, & Tencent

China

TUHU Car Inc. offers automotive services. The Company develops leading integrated online and offline platform which provides automotive maintenance, repair, detailing, and more. TUHU Car provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Tuhu Car (9690 HK)

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth

Tuhu expands to Malaysia, poised to dominate market with strong infrastructure and growth potential, offering a bargain investment opportunity.

Mohshin Aziz

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Midea Group Question Mark and Final Rankings for Exp ADDs/DELs

Our current estimate of US$1,079mn one-way capping flow translates to a turnover of 4.4%. The final capping flows will be decided based on the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.

Mohshin Aziz

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 28)

Alibaba inclusion in the SB connect platform could be a positive market catalyst. Tuhu reported a large increase in new stores in 1H2024. AAC saw...

David Mudd

Quiddity HSTECH Jun 24 Final Expectations: US$1.6bn One-Way; Li Auto, JD, Xiaomi, Meituan, & Tencent

I estimate one-way flow to be US$1,585mn which translates to a turnover of roughly 8.3%. I do not expect any constituent changes for the HSCEI June...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth

​Tuhu expands to Malaysia, poised to dominate market with strong infrastructure and growth potential, offering a bargain investment opportunity.

Mohshin Aziz

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Midea Group Question Mark and Final Rankings for Exp ADDs/DELs

Our current estimate of US$1,079mn one-way capping flow translates to a turnover of 4.4%. The final capping flows will be decided based on the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

​Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.

Mohshin Aziz

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 28)

Alibaba inclusion in the SB connect platform could be a positive market catalyst. Tuhu reported a large increase in new stores in 1H2024. AAC saw...

David Mudd

Quiddity HSTECH Jun 24 Final Expectations: US$1.6bn One-Way; Li Auto, JD, Xiaomi, Meituan, & Tencent

I estimate one-way flow to be US$1,585mn which translates to a turnover of roughly 8.3%. I do not expect any constituent changes for the HSCEI June...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tuhu expands to Malaysia, poised to dominate market with strong infrastructure and growth potential, offering a bargain investment opportunity.

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.