Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC is on its way to beat its 2Q revenue guidance, Apr + May represent 72% of 2Q guide. YTD revenue growth 43% YoY, Consensus at 26% (NT$). Upgrade coming? </li>
<li>UMC is on its way to miss its 2Q revenue guidance, Apr + May represent 63% of 2Q guide. YTD revenue growth 4% YoY . No recovery in legacy semiconductor. </li>
<li>This confirms, again, that AI is the only growing segment in semiconductors. The rest is lackluster (computers, smartphone, automotive, industrial, you name it).</li>
</ul>


TSMC is on its way to beat its 2Q revenue guidance, Apr + May represent 72% of 2Q guide. YTD revenue growth 43% YoY, Consensus at 26% (NT$). Upgrade coming? 
UMC is on its way to miss its 2Q revenue guidance, Apr + May represent 63% of 2Q guide. YTD revenue growth 4% YoY . No recovery in legacy semiconductor. 
This confirms, again, that AI is the only growing segment in semiconductors. The rest is lackluster (computers, smartphone, automotive, industrial, you name it).


TSMC, UMC Monthly Sales: A Tale of 2 Worlds

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>
Global Chip Sales Tick Higher in April, 2026 Growth Forecast Robust — WSTS Forecast Signals Sustained Semiconductor Growth Through 2026 Despite Macroeconomic Uncertainty</li>
<li>
National Taiwan University Semiconductor Forum Highlights — Edge AI and Robotics The Next Major Demand Catalyst... AI Still in Its Early Phase</li>
<li>
Semiconductor Memory Q125 Review — Tariff &amp; Tech Transition Impacts, HBM Outlook</li>
</ul>



Global Chip Sales Tick Higher in April, 2026 Growth Forecast Robust — WSTS Forecast Signals Sustained Semiconductor Growth Through 2026 Despite Macroeconomic Uncertainty

National Taiwan University Semiconductor Forum Highlights — Edge AI and Robotics The Next Major Demand Catalyst... AI Still in Its Early Phase

Semiconductor Memory Q125 Review —  Tariff &amp; Tech Transition Impacts, HBM Outlook


Taiwan Tech Weekly: 2026 Chip Forecasts Remain Robust; Robots as Taiwan's Next Driver; Memory 1Q25

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 6th. The aggregated short interest was USD24.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Catcher Technology, Novatek Microelectronics, Gigabyte Technology, SCSB, Ase Industrial, Inventec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 6th. The aggregated short interest was USD24.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Catcher Technology, Novatek Microelectronics, Gigabyte Technology, SCSB, Ase Industrial, Inventec.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 6th. The aggregated holding was USD1,016.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD4,467mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in First Financial, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components, Novatek Microelectronics, Jinan Acetate Chemical, Cathay Financial, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Fubon Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 6th. The aggregated holding was USD1,016.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD4,467mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in First Financial, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components, Novatek Microelectronics, Jinan Acetate Chemical, Cathay Financial, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Fubon Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 6th): First Financial, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +23.4% Premium; Consider Shorting ADR Spread at Current Level</li>
<li>UMC: 1.5% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Premium Before Going Short the Spread</li>
<li>ASE: +4.4% Premium; Wait for Higher Premium Before Going Short</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +23.4% Premium; Consider Shorting ADR Spread at Current Level
UMC: 1.5% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Premium Before Going Short the Spread
ASE: +4.4% Premium; Wait for Higher Premium Before Going Short


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Break Out Is at Historically High End of Range

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

TSMC, UMC Monthly Sales: A Tale of 2 Worlds

TSMC outperforms revenue guidance while UMC falls short, highlighting AI as the only growing segment in semiconductors.

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: 2026 Chip Forecasts Remain Robust; Robots as Taiwan's Next Driver; Memory 1Q25

Global chip sales are on the rise, with a strong growth forecast through 2026 despite economic uncertainty. Edge AI and robotics are expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Cathay Financial (2882 TT), Ctbc Financial (2891...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 6th): First Financial, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in First Financial (2892 TT), Mediatek (2454 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Break Out Is at Historically High End of Range

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC, UMC Monthly Sales: A Tale of 2 Worlds

​TSMC outperforms revenue guidance while UMC falls short, highlighting AI as the only growing segment in semiconductors.

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: 2026 Chip Forecasts Remain Robust; Robots as Taiwan's Next Driver; Memory 1Q25

​Global chip sales are on the rise, with a strong growth forecast through 2026 despite economic uncertainty. Edge AI and robotics are expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Cathay Financial (2882 TT), Ctbc Financial (2891...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 6th): First Financial, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in First Financial (2892 TT), Mediatek (2454 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Break Out Is at Historically High End of Range

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC outperforms revenue guidance while UMC falls short, highlighting AI as the only growing segment in semiconductors.

Global chip sales are on the rise, with a strong growth forecast through 2026 despite economic uncertainty. Edge AI and robotics are expected to...