Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +20.8% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level vs. Relative Range; Comments from Morris Chang on Premium</li>
<li>ASE: +0.5% Premium; Good Level to Go Long the Premium</li>
<li>ChipMOS: 1.9% Premium; Can Consider Shorting Premium at Current Level</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +20.8% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level vs. Relative Range; Comments from Morris Chang on Premium
ASE: +0.5% Premium; Good Level to Go Long the Premium
ChipMOS: 1.9% Premium; Can Consider Shorting Premium at Current Level


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Rebounds to Strong Premium; ASE Near Parity

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 10.8% Premium; Taiwanese Investors Likely to Be Less Shocked by DeepSeek News?</li>
<li>UMC: -7.3% Discount; The Latest Extreme Discount Cannot Be Sustained</li>
<li>ASE: -10.2% Discount; This Extreme Discount Also Cannot Be Sustained</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 10.8% Premium; Taiwanese Investors Likely to Be Less Shocked by DeepSeek News?
UMC: -7.3% Discount; The Latest Extreme Discount Cannot Be Sustained
ASE: -10.2% Discount; This Extreme Discount Also Cannot Be Sustained


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Dramatic Spreads Open Up After DeepSeek Rout & Taiwan Market Closure

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.</li>
<li>China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> shares have benefited from this trend.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.
</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.
China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) shares have benefited from this trend.

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC Misses 4Q24 Expectations -- Gross Margin Dips with Flat QoQ Revenue</li>
<li>UMC Guides for 40% Reduction in Capex Budget -- We Believe Signals Strategic Shift to Less Capex Intensive Business Model</li>
<li>Intel 12nm Partnership Remains on Track and is Key Business Model for Future; UMC Sees Improvement in Consumer Electronics Industry Inventories</li>
</ul>


UMC Misses 4Q24 Expectations -- Gross Margin Dips with Flat QoQ Revenue
UMC Guides for 40% Reduction in Capex Budget -- We Believe Signals Strategic Shift to Less Capex Intensive Business Model
Intel 12nm Partnership Remains on Track and is Key Business Model for Future; UMC Sees Improvement in Consumer Electronics Industry Inventories


United Microelectronics 4Q24 Results: Intel Partnership On Track and Is A Key Model for UMC's Future

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) 1Q25 demand has surged abruptly, with a likely 5% quarter-over-quarter shipment increase.  </li>
<li>China's substantial demand is capable of supporting a Fabless leader like Novatek.  </li>
<li>The unexpected demand surge in 1Q25 has greatly benefited Novatek .  </li>
</ul>


Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) 1Q25 demand has surged abruptly, with a likely 5% quarter-over-quarter shipment increase.  
China's substantial demand is capable of supporting a Fabless leader like Novatek.  
The unexpected demand surge in 1Q25 has greatly benefited Novatek .  


Novatek (3034.TT): Rush Orders Received and Beneficial from Chinese Household Electronic Demand.

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Rebounds to Strong Premium; ASE Near Parity

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Dramatic Spreads Open Up After DeepSeek Rout & Taiwan Market Closure

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

United Microelectronics 4Q24 Results: Intel Partnership On Track and Is A Key Model for UMC's Future

UMC's 4Q24 results disappoint with lower gross margin and flat revenue. Plans to reduce capex by 40% hint at shift to less capital-intensive...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Novatek (3034.TT): Rush Orders Received and Beneficial from Chinese Household Electronic Demand.

Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) experiences a sudden surge in demand in 1Q25, likely leading to a 5% increase in shipments, supported by...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Rebounds to Strong Premium; ASE Near Parity

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Dramatic Spreads Open Up After DeepSeek Rout & Taiwan Market Closure

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

United Microelectronics 4Q24 Results: Intel Partnership On Track and Is A Key Model for UMC's Future

​UMC's 4Q24 results disappoint with lower gross margin and flat revenue. Plans to reduce capex by 40% hint at shift to less capital-intensive...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Novatek (3034.TT): Rush Orders Received and Beneficial from Chinese Household Electronic Demand.

​Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) experiences a sudden surge in demand in 1Q25, likely leading to a 5% increase in shipments, supported by...

Patrick Liao

UMC's 4Q24 results disappoint with lower gross margin and flat revenue. Plans to reduce capex by 40% hint at shift to less capital-intensive...

Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) experiences a sudden surge in demand in 1Q25, likely leading to a 5% increase in shipments, supported by...