Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC's latest results indicate a mild recovery for consumer, communications, and computing industries. UMC's capacity utilization to continue improving but industry inventory correction could last until end-2024E.</li>
<li>UMC maintained 2024E capex guidance however it's increasingly clear UMC can't keep up the capex arms race alone. Hence we see UMC &amp; Intel becoming closer and closer partners.</li>
<li>We continue to view UMC as a long-term accumulate, and rate the stock as Structural Long, this however requires a longer than usual multi-year holding period.</li>
</ul>


UMC's latest results indicate a mild recovery for consumer, communications, and computing industries. UMC's capacity utilization to continue improving but industry inventory correction could last until end-2024E.
UMC maintained 2024E capex guidance however it's increasingly clear UMC can't keep up the capex arms race alone. Hence we see UMC &amp; Intel becoming closer and closer partners.
We continue to view UMC as a long-term accumulate, and rate the stock as Structural Long, this however requires a longer than usual multi-year holding period.


UMC Signals Non-AI Industry Inventory Correction Through 2024E; Why Intel Is Increasingly Important

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>3Q24 guidance: Shipment up mid-single digits QoQ; ASP: Remains firm in USD; GM: around mid-30%. (Consensuses were high single digits.)</li>
<li>Has provided a 22nm HV solution for high-end OLED DDI to high-end SP, and expects to reach high-volume production in 2025.  </li>
<li>Cooperation with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> is progressing well, targeting MP for 14nm in 2027.</li>
</ul>


3Q24 guidance: Shipment up mid-single digits QoQ; ASP: Remains firm in USD; GM: around mid-30%. (Consensuses were high single digits.)
Has provided a 22nm HV solution for high-end OLED DDI to high-end SP, and expects to reach high-volume production in 2025.  
Cooperation with Intel Corp (INTC US) is progressing well, targeting MP for 14nm in 2027.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 3Q24 Sales Were Slightly Below Consensuses

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 26th which has an aggregated holding worth USD924.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,653mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 26th which has an aggregated holding worth USD924.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,653mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 26th): Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 26th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Auo, Wiwynn, Yageo, Ctbc Financial, Global Unichip, Faraday Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 26th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Auo, Wiwynn, Yageo, Ctbc Financial, Global Unichip, Faraday Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 26th): Auo, Wiwynn, Ctbc Financial, Global Unichip, Faraday Tech

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: Crashed Then Rebounded to +15.1% Premium; Likely to Break Down Again</li>
<li>UMC: -0.2% Discount; Earnings Imminent; Notable Decrease in ADR Headroom</li>
<li>ASE: Rebounded to +9.2 Premium After Major Breakdown; Likely to Drop Again</li>
</ul>


TSMC: Crashed Then Rebounded to +15.1% Premium; Likely to Break Down Again
UMC: -0.2% Discount; Earnings Imminent; Notable Decrease in ADR Headroom
ASE: Rebounded to +9.2 Premium After Major Breakdown; Likely to Drop Again


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premium Trading Range Blow-Outs During Recent Sell-Off

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

UMC Signals Non-AI Industry Inventory Correction Through 2024E; Why Intel Is Increasingly Important

UMC sees mild industry end demand improvement, but inventory correction may last until end-2024E. UMC and Intel's partnership will deepen over...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 3Q24 Sales Were Slightly Below Consensuses

Overall, sales are lower than consensuses in 3Q24. UMC plans to reach high-volume production for 22nm HV solution by 2025 and is progressing well...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 26th): Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 26th): Auo, Wiwynn, Ctbc Financial, Global Unichip, Faraday Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Auo, Wiwynn, Yageo, Ctbc Financial, Global...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premium Trading Range Blow-Outs During Recent Sell-Off

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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UMC Signals Non-AI Industry Inventory Correction Through 2024E; Why Intel Is Increasingly Important

​UMC sees mild industry end demand improvement, but inventory correction may last until end-2024E. UMC and Intel's partnership will deepen over...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 3Q24 Sales Were Slightly Below Consensuses

Overall, sales are lower than consensuses in 3Q24. UMC plans to reach high-volume production for 22nm HV solution by 2025 and is progressing well...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 26th): Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 26th): Auo, Wiwynn, Ctbc Financial, Global Unichip, Faraday Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Auo, Wiwynn, Yageo, Ctbc Financial, Global...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premium Trading Range Blow-Outs During Recent Sell-Off

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

UMC sees mild industry end demand improvement, but inventory correction may last until end-2024E. UMC and Intel's partnership will deepen over...