Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 9.2% Premium -- Spread Fell But Remains Historically High; Short Interest Spiked for ADRs</li>
<li>UMC: Trading at -1.2% Discount -- Still Uncompelling, Wait for Lower Levels</li>
<li>ASE: Drops to 7% Premium -- Could Soon Be at a Level to Go Long</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 9.2% Premium -- Spread Fell But Remains Historically High; Short Interest Spiked for ADRs
UMC: Trading at -1.2% Discount -- Still Uncompelling, Wait for Lower Levels
ASE: Drops to 7% Premium -- Could Soon Be at a Level to Go Long


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High; ADR Short Interest Spiked

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The oversupply of 8"/12" mature technology and price war especially within China for the next 5 years is inevitable, especially negative for SMIC and Hua Hong Semi.</li>
<li>Production moving out of China semi demand might increase to 65-70% in next five years to benefit Globalfoundries, UMC, Vanguard, Powerchip mitigating impacts from rising domestic replacement in China.  </li>
<li>By building up in-house fabs, Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most like semiconductor equipment, material, fab construction, CoWoS interposer, and CoWoS packaging vendors.</li>
</ul>


The oversupply of 8"/12" mature technology and price war especially within China for the next 5 years is inevitable, especially negative for SMIC and Hua Hong Semi.
Production moving out of China semi demand might increase to 65-70% in next five years to benefit Globalfoundries, UMC, Vanguard, Powerchip mitigating impacts from rising domestic replacement in China.  
By building up in-house fabs, Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most like semiconductor equipment, material, fab construction, CoWoS interposer, and CoWoS packaging vendors.


No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

<ul>
<li>PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results</li>
<li>Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining</li>
</ul>


PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results
Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 10.5% Premium -- Still a Good Level to Short the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: Trading at -1.1% Discount -- Uncompelling, Wait for Deeper Discount</li>
<li>ASE: 8.8% Premium -- Still Wait for Lower Levels Before Going Long</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 10.5% Premium -- Still a Good Level to Short the Spread
UMC: Trading at -1.1% Discount -- Uncompelling, Wait for Deeper Discount
ASE: 8.8% Premium -- Still Wait for Lower Levels Before Going Long


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining

uPI Semiconductor Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UPI Semi is a specialist designer of electronic components and semiconductors for power management. Power management is a key performance factor for AI devices.</li>
<li>UPI's clients include most of the world's largest leading technology companies for semiconductor distribution and AI products.</li>
<li>UPI shares have lagged the strong performance of its clients -- We see opportunity for UPI to now Outperform.</li>
</ul>


UPI Semi is a specialist designer of electronic components and semiconductors for power management. Power management is a key performance factor for AI devices.
UPI's clients include most of the world's largest leading technology companies for semiconductor distribution and AI products.
UPI shares have lagged the strong performance of its clients -- We see opportunity for UPI to now Outperform.


Power Semiconductor Specialist Will Benefit from AI Yet Lagging Key Customers' Share Price Rallies

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High; ADR Short Interest Spiked

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Only TSMC's spread offers a compelling opportunity right now in...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications; Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most

Andrew Lu

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Spreads have generally risen along with the strong end of year...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High; ADR Short Interest Spiked

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Only TSMC's spread offers a compelling opportunity right now in...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications; Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most

Andrew Lu

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Spreads have generally risen along with the strong end of year...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Power Semiconductor Specialist Will Benefit from AI Yet Lagging Key Customers' Share Price Rallies

UPI's clients include most of the world's leading tech companies for chip distribution and AI products. UPI shares have lagged the strong...

Vincent Fernando, CFA