Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meets on Tuesday, 30 September 2025, with a rate decision due at 14:30h AEST. 
</li>
<li>
Highlights: Consensus is firmly for a hold (96% probability), but surprise cuts have historically doubled the market’s typical daily move. Sector impacts—banks vs. resources—closely examined.</li>
<li>
Why Read: An actionable roadmap to sector sensitivities, highlighting bank and resource ETFs as tactical vehicles if the RBA deviates from expectations.</li>
</ul>


The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meets on Tuesday, 30 September 2025, with a rate decision due at 14:30h AEST. 


Highlights: Consensus is firmly for a hold (96% probability), but surprise cuts have historically doubled the market’s typical daily move. Sector impacts—banks vs. resources—closely examined.

Why Read: An actionable roadmap to sector sensitivities, highlighting bank and resource ETFs as tactical vehicles if the RBA deviates from expectations.


RBA Rate Watch: Navigating ASX 200, Banks, and Resources

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-ba" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:442:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Australian Banks (MVB AU) </a>price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average.</li>
<li>
Highlights: The dislocation highlights the recent outperformance of Westpac vs. some of its peers, pointing to a potential underweight in a portfolio context.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Westpac Banking (WBC AU) vs. VanEck Australian Banks (MVB AU) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average.

Highlights: The dislocation highlights the recent outperformance of Westpac vs. some of its peers, pointing to a potential underweight in a portfolio context.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Statistical Arbitrage in Focus as Westpac (WBC AU) Runs Ahead of Peers

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Sep)

National Australia Bank / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-australia-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15:1" rel="noopener">National Australia Bank (NAB AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-ba" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:442:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Australian Banks ETF (MVB AU)</a> price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average.</li>
<li>
Highlights: The dislocation highlights the recent outperformance of NAB vs. some of its peers, pointing to a potential underweight in a portfolio context.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The National Australia Bank (NAB AU) vs. VanEck Australian Banks ETF (MVB AU) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average.

Highlights: The dislocation highlights the recent outperformance of NAB vs. some of its peers, pointing to a potential underweight in a portfolio context.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


NAB (NAB AU) Dislocation Vs. Peers Highlights Mean-Reversion Setup

Australia

VanEck Vectors Australian Banks ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in Australia. The Fund aims to provide investment returns (before fees and expenses) that closely track the returns of the MVIS Australia Banks Index.

VanEck Vectors Australian Banks ETF (MVB AU)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

VanEck Vectors Australian Banks ETF (MVB AU)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, based on quantitative methodology. Offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

RBA Rate Watch: Navigating ASX 200, Banks, and Resources

30 September 2025 – RBA Rate Decision: Consensus points to a hold, but a surprise cut could shake markets. Key sectors—banks and resources—are...

Gaudenz Schneider

Statistical Arbitrage in Focus as Westpac (WBC AU) Runs Ahead of Peers

Westpac’s 6.3% post-Q3 surge leaves it ahead of its peers. Mean reversion signals a tactical underweight — or a pair trade against the VanEck...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Sep)

Statistical methodology identifies eight pair trade opportunities in four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights for investors.

Gaudenz Schneider

NAB (NAB AU) Dislocation Vs. Peers Highlights Mean-Reversion Setup

As NAB outperforms its peers, mean reversion signals a tactical underweight — or a pair trade via long/short positioning with the VanEck Australian...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, based on quantitative methodology. Offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

RBA Rate Watch: Navigating ASX 200, Banks, and Resources

30 September 2025 – RBA Rate Decision: Consensus points to a hold, but a surprise cut could shake markets. Key sectors—banks and resources—are...

Gaudenz Schneider

Statistical Arbitrage in Focus as Westpac (WBC AU) Runs Ahead of Peers

Westpac’s 6.3% post-Q3 surge leaves it ahead of its peers. Mean reversion signals a tactical underweight — or a pair trade against the VanEck...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Sep)

​Statistical methodology identifies eight pair trade opportunities in four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights for investors.

Gaudenz Schneider

NAB (NAB AU) Dislocation Vs. Peers Highlights Mean-Reversion Setup

As NAB outperforms its peers, mean reversion signals a tactical underweight — or a pair trade via long/short positioning with the VanEck Australian...

Gaudenz Schneider

Statistical methodology identifies eight pair trade opportunities in four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights for investors.