Research from Superfluous Value, Superfluous Value

Superfluous Value

Research from Superfluous Value

Stock selection has rarely been as important as it is today. After a roaring decade for US markets and with signs of mania everywhere, the S&P 500 as over-priced as it has ever been.

But, there is better way. Superfluous Value is a contrarian, deep-dive into the markets forgotten by the 60/40 instos and indexing, momentum chasers. Where the hot money has long moved on, it leaves behind investments offering great safety and prospective returns.

I believe the 2020s will look diametrically opposite to the recent past, with Emerging Markets, the UK, Japan and commodities set to rip and I intend to be holding the best opportunities available as they do.

Please feel free to come along on the journey.

Contrarian Deep-Dive into the Markets

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The UK remains one of my favourite hunting grounds and I’ve written about its challenges ad nauseam over the last few years.</li><li>But today, it’s particularly worth pointing out that an unusually large number of UK stocks are down significantly over the last month.</li><li>Many are for business specific reasons, but it’s almost uncanny the way UK stocks find a way to tank, even when much of the world is rallying.</li></ul>

The UK remains one of my favourite hunting grounds and I’ve written about its challenges ad nauseam over the last few years.But today, it’s particularly worth pointing out that an unusually large number of UK stocks are down significantly over the last month.Many are for business specific reasons, but it’s almost uncanny the way UK stocks find a way to tank, even when much of the world is rallying.

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Separately, we see multiple M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few months.</li>
<li>There could also be more regular changes during the December 2024 rebalanced event</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2024 index rebal event.
Separately, we see multiple M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few months.
There could also be more regular changes during the December 2024 rebalanced event


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Thoughts Deliveroo and Coca-Cola; More Intra-Review Changes

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...</li>
<li>We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.</li>
<li>Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...
We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.
Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

Alpha Group International  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The rankings for the F100/250 June 2024 index rebalance event will be decided based on the full market cap rankings at the close of trading today (4th June 2024).</li>
<li>Since there have been a couple of intra-review index changes and some ranking changes due to price movements, we have decided to update our expectations for the June 2024 review.</li>
<li>We currently see 2 changes for the F100 index and 3 separate changes for the F250 index. However, the rankings can still change if prices move sharply today.</li>
</ul>


The rankings for the F100/250 June 2024 index rebalance event will be decided based on the full market cap rankings at the close of trading today (4th June 2024).
Since there have been a couple of intra-review index changes and some ranking changes due to price movements, we have decided to update our expectations for the June 2024 review.
We currently see 2 changes for the F100 index and 3 separate changes for the F250 index. However, the rankings can still change if prices move sharply today.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Jun 24: Last Day of Trading Before Rankings; Many Possibilities

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Based on the current numbers, we see two F100 expected ADDs/DELs and three other F250 expected ADDs/DELs. The final changes will be decided based 4th June 2024 closing prices.</li>
<li>There are several names just outside the border requiring small price changes to trigger more index changes. An intra-review change is also possible.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
Based on the current numbers, we see two F100 expected ADDs/DELs and three other F250 expected ADDs/DELs. The final changes will be decided based 4th June 2024 closing prices.
There are several names just outside the border requiring small price changes to trigger more index changes. An intra-review change is also possible.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored

United Kingdom

Vistry Group PLC provides home construction services. The Company builds and sells single-family houses, apartments, retirement facilities, and social housing units. Vistry Group serves customers in the United Kingdom.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Vistry Group (VTY LN)

Noteworthy UK Carnage

The UK remains one of my favourite hunting grounds and I’ve written about its challenges ad nauseam over the last few years.

Superfluous Value

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Thoughts Deliveroo and Coca-Cola; More Intra-Review Changes

Deliveroo could get into F250 in December 2024 while Coca-Cola might have to wait until March 2025 to get into F100 due to a minimum listing period...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Jun 24: Last Day of Trading Before Rankings; Many Possibilities

Only one of the three F250 expected ADDs and two of the three F250 expected DELs are high-conviction names. The others are close to the border and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored

The highest-ranked F250 potential ADDs and potential DELs could have multiple number of days to trade if they get involved in index changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Noteworthy UK Carnage

The UK remains one of my favourite hunting grounds and I’ve written about its challenges ad nauseam over the last few years.

Superfluous Value

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Thoughts Deliveroo and Coca-Cola; More Intra-Review Changes

Deliveroo could get into F250 in December 2024 while Coca-Cola might have to wait until March 2025 to get into F100 due to a minimum listing period...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Jun 24: Last Day of Trading Before Rankings; Many Possibilities

Only one of the three F250 expected ADDs and two of the three F250 expected DELs are high-conviction names. The others are close to the border and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored

The highest-ranked F250 potential ADDs and potential DELs could have multiple number of days to trade if they get involved in index changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Jun 24: Last Day of Trading Before Rankings; Many Possibilities

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored