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Equity Bottom-Up

Waskita Karya (Persero) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Strong sales momentum, share price is less volatile, and relatively strong analyst recommendation relative to its sector</li><li>As the largest toll road contractor in Indonesia by revenue, this state-owned enterprise (SOE) is benefitting substantially from the rollout of toll roads nationwide; currently 14 concessions in the pipeline</li><li>Potential IPO of its precast concrete subsidiary in 4Q16 should inject cash for project financing</li><li>Trades at premium to the ASEAN sector at 16CE* 23.2x PE, but offers great EPS growth in a sector that is expected to contract</li><li>Risk: Unexpected delays in toll road construction</li></ul>* Consensus Estimates

Strong sales momentum, share price is less volatile, and relatively strong analyst recommendation relative to its sectorAs the largest toll road contractor in Indonesia by revenue, this state-owned enterprise (SOE) is benefitting substantially from the rollout of toll roads nationwide; currently 14 concessions in the pipelinePotential IPO of its precast concrete subsidiary in 4Q16 should inject cash for project financingTrades at premium to the ASEAN sector at 16CE* 23.2x PE, but offers great EPS growth in a sector that is expected to contractRisk: Unexpected delays in toll road construction* Consensus Estimates

WSKT: Beneficiary of Indonesian Infrastructure Spending

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David Riedel

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Independent equity research on GEM Markets

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.</li>
<li>ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.</li>
<li>A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.</li>
<li>Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.</li>
<li>BUY…</li>
</ul>


Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.
ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.
A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.
Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.
BUY…


Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

The recent rate cut by Bank Indonesia at its policy meeting on 16th June is expected to provide some support to domestic demand in the months ahead. The benchmark rate now stands at 6.50%. With inflation expected to stay within Bank Indonesia’s target range of 3% to 5% in the near term, having edged lower to 3.3% y-o-y in May, growth concerns were clearly the dominant driver for the recent move.Credit growth in Indonesia has continued to slow, with lending by commercial banks having risen 8.0%…

The recent rate cut by Bank Indonesia at its policy meeting on 16th June is expected to provide some support to domestic demand in the months ahead. The benchmark rate now stands at 6.50%. With inflation expected to stay within Bank Indonesia’s target range of 3% to 5% in the near term, having edged lower to 3.3% y-o-y in May, growth concerns were clearly the dominant driver for the recent move.Credit growth in Indonesia has continued to slow, with lending by commercial banks having risen 8.0%…

Indonesia: Bank Indonesia May Have Room to Cut Rates Further

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Foreign direct investment into Indonesia continues to arrive, but there are issues in relation to radical Islam, labor constraints and corruption. If the new government of President Widodo can resolve some of these, even larger capital inflows can be expected.

Foreign direct investment into Indonesia continues to arrive, but there are issues in relation to radical Islam, labor constraints and corruption. If the new government of President Widodo can resolve some of these, even larger capital inflows can be expected.

FDI into Indonesia on a Roll, but Reforms Needed

Indonesia

PT Waskita Karya Persero Tbk is a general contractor engaged in diverse range of construction activities such as roads, bridges, harbors, airports, buildings, sewerages, factories and other industrial facilities. Numerous high rise buildings with well known reputation such as BNI City, Bank Indonesia, and several multi-storey apartment buildings have been completed by Waskita

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Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)

WSKT: Beneficiary of Indonesian Infrastructure Spending

Strong sales momentum, share price is less volatile, and relatively strong analyst recommendation relative to its sector As the largest toll road...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos. ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with...

David Riedel

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually...

Rajan Govil

Indonesia: Bank Indonesia May Have Room to Cut Rates Further

The recent rate cut by Bank Indonesia at its policy meeting on 16th June is expected to provide some support to domestic demand in the months...

Rajan Govil

FDI into Indonesia on a Roll, but Reforms Needed

Foreign direct investment into Indonesia continues to arrive, but there are issues in relation to radical Islam, labor constraints and corruption....

Bixmoor

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