Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

William Demant Holding A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Demant's latest financial results for 2024 reveal a mixed performance with several key developments influencing their overall outlook.</li><li>The company reported an overall growth in revenue of 4%, with an equal contribution from organic growth and acquisitions, amounting to DKK 22.4 billion.</li><li>While this marks an improvement in gross profit by 5%, the company's EBIT saw a decrease of about 2% (DKK 100 million) from the previous year, underscoring some challenges faced over the fiscal period.</li></ul>

Demant's latest financial results for 2024 reveal a mixed performance with several key developments influencing their overall outlook.The company reported an overall growth in revenue of 4%, with an equal contribution from organic growth and acquisitions, amounting to DKK 22.4 billion.While this marks an improvement in gross profit by 5%, the company's EBIT saw a decrease of about 2% (DKK 100 million) from the previous year, underscoring some challenges faced over the fiscal period.

Demant A/S: Initiation of Coverage- Can AI-Powered Hearing Tech Disrupt the Global Market?

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear Ltd (COH AU)</a> now expects FY25 underlying net profit to be at the lower end of A$410–430M guidance range due to lower services revenue and higher cloud-related investment.</li>
<li>Despite 5% growth in H1FY25, Cochlear reiterated that “solid market growth rates to drive cochlear implant unit growth of around 10% in FY25.”</li>
<li>Cochlear is expected to release next-generation cochlear implant in mid-2025. The introduction of the new off-the-ear Nucleus Kanso 3 sound processor is expected to contribute to services revenue from FY26.</li>
</ul>



Cochlear Ltd (COH AU) now expects FY25 underlying net profit to be at the lower end of A$410–430M guidance range due to lower services revenue and higher cloud-related investment.
Despite 5% growth in H1FY25, Cochlear reiterated that “solid market growth rates to drive cochlear implant unit growth of around 10% in FY25.”
Cochlear is expected to release next-generation cochlear implant in mid-2025. The introduction of the new off-the-ear Nucleus Kanso 3 sound processor is expected to contribute to services revenue from FY26.


Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Negative Reaction Is Overdone; Performance Reversal Is Imminent

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear Ltd (COH AU)</a> shares rallied 30%+ over the last six months. Shares are trading at NTM P/E of 51.3x, versus other Australia-listed medical devices companies’ P/E of 23–32x.</li>
<li>The underlying business strength depicted by strong financial performance and guidance raise, and superior product offerings justify the pricey valuation.</li>
<li>Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY) from A$355–375M. The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY.</li>
</ul>



Cochlear Ltd (COH AU) shares rallied 30%+ over the last six months. Shares are trading at NTM P/E of 51.3x, versus other Australia-listed medical devices companies’ P/E of 23–32x.
The underlying business strength depicted by strong financial performance and guidance raise, and superior product offerings justify the pricey valuation.
Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY) from A$355–375M. The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY.


Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Underlying Business Strength Justifies Superior Valuation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook, initially discussed in our January 6th 2023 Int'l Compass, was for $93 to cap upside on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); this has again proven prescient.</li>
<li>Since late-January/early-February we have recommended shifting to defensives, and MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care (IXJ-US), Utilities (JXI-US), and Consumer Staples (KXI-US) are now hitting 3-4-month RS highs.</li>
<li>With the ACWI-US just now starting to turn down after testing $93, we continue to recommend a tactical overweight to the aforementioned defensive Sectors, and also to gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook, initially discussed in our January 6th 2023 Int'l Compass, was for $93 to cap upside on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); this has again proven prescient.
Since late-January/early-February we have recommended shifting to defensives, and MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care (IXJ-US), Utilities (JXI-US), and Consumer Staples (KXI-US) are now hitting 3-4-month RS highs.
With the ACWI-US just now starting to turn down after testing $93, we continue to recommend a tactical overweight to the aforementioned defensive Sectors, and also to gold miners (GDX-US).


Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives; Remain Overweight Europe, Japan, & EAFE. Buys in Defensives

iShares Global Healthcare ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.</li>
<li>MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
<li>This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe</li>
</ul>


As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.
MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).
This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe


Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

Denmark

Demant A/S develop, manufacture, and sell products and equipment that help people with hearing loss connect and communicate. The Company focus on hearing devices and implants, diagnostic instruments, and personal communication. Demant serves customers worldwide.

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William Demant Holding A/S (DEMANT DC)

Demant A/S: Initiation of Coverage- Can AI-Powered Hearing Tech Disrupt the Global Market?

Demant's latest financial results for 2024 reveal a mixed performance with several key developments influencing their overall outlook. The company...

Baptista Research

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Negative Reaction Is Overdone; Performance Reversal Is Imminent

Cochlear expects FY25 profit to be at the lower end of guidance range, but remains optimistic about maintaining 10% implant volume growth. The...

Tina Banerjee

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Underlying Business Strength Justifies Superior Valuation

Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance 8% to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY). The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY from...

Tina Banerjee

Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives; Remain Overweight Europe, Japan, & EAFE. Buys in Defensives

$93 on $ACWI continues to be a key resistance that we have discussed since early-Jan as capping upside for 2023. Stick with defensives $IXJ $XLV...

Vermilion Research

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Demant A/S: Initiation of Coverage- Can AI-Powered Hearing Tech Disrupt the Global Market?

Demant's latest financial results for 2024 reveal a mixed performance with several key developments influencing their overall outlook. The company...

Baptista Research

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Negative Reaction Is Overdone; Performance Reversal Is Imminent

​Cochlear expects FY25 profit to be at the lower end of guidance range, but remains optimistic about maintaining 10% implant volume growth. The...

Tina Banerjee

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Underlying Business Strength Justifies Superior Valuation

Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance 8% to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY). The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY from...

Tina Banerjee

Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives; Remain Overweight Europe, Japan, & EAFE. Buys in Defensives

$93 on $ACWI continues to be a key resistance that we have discussed since early-Jan as capping upside for 2023. Stick with defensives $IXJ $XLV...

Vermilion Research

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

Cochlear expects FY25 profit to be at the lower end of guidance range, but remains optimistic about maintaining 10% implant volume growth. The...