Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2023 review.</li>
<li>There are some key changes to expectations since my last TDIV insight as a consequence of changes in share prices and/or dividend expectations.</li>
<li>I currently expect 6 ADDs and 5 DELs during the December 2023 review.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2023 review.
There are some key changes to expectations since my last TDIV insight as a consequence of changes in share prices and/or dividend expectations.
I currently expect 6 ADDs and 5 DELs during the December 2023 review.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 23: US$1.36bn One-Way, 20%+ Turnover, 2 Weeks to Announcement

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>While I do not expect to see any changes to the T50 index, I expect <em>four</em> index changes for the T100 index.</li>
<li>Some of the names involved in the T100 index changes could have significant influence on our TDIV index flow expectations for December 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.
While I do not expect to see any changes to the T50 index, I expect four index changes for the T100 index.
Some of the names involved in the T100 index changes could have significant influence on our TDIV index flow expectations for December 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX</a>, among others.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX</a> rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-x-lithium-battery-tech-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32745:1" rel="noopener">Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US)</a> and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.</li>
<li>There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-core-msci-emerging-mar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32967:1" rel="noopener">iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schwab-emerging-markets-equi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32879:1" rel="noopener">Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-edge-msci-min-vol-emerging-markets-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:725:1" rel="noopener">IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, CSI 300, CSI 500, SSE50, STAR50, ChiNext and SENSEX, among others.
The TOPIX rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US) and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.
There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including iShares Emerging Markets (EEM), iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG), Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE) and IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 25 October, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 19.5% and a one-way trade of US$1.39bn.</li>
<li>A long adds/ short deletes trade is up double digits over the last three weeks and there are a few trade adjustments based on the new rankings.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 25 October, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 19.5% and a one-way trade of US$1.39bn.
A long adds/ short deletes trade is up double digits over the last three weeks and there are a few trade adjustments based on the new rankings.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF Rebalance Preview: In-The-Money; Turnover & Trade Remain High

U Ming Marine Transport Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>While there are no changes expected for the T50 index there could be one change for the T100 index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/u-ming-marine-transport-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3524:1" rel="noopener">U Ming Marine Transport Corp (2606 TT)</a> has moved closer to a potential T100 deletion which could also result in a TDIV deletion which has very significant flow implications.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.
While there are no changes expected for the T50 index there could be one change for the T100 index.

U Ming Marine Transport Corp (2606 TT) has moved closer to a potential T100 deletion which could also result in a TDIV deletion which has very significant flow implications.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Taiwan

Wistron NeWeb Corporation manufactures wireless communication systems.  The Company's products include satellite communication, wireless networking, embedded antenna, and mobile handset products.

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Wistron Neweb (6285 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 23: US$1.36bn One-Way, 20%+ Turnover, 2 Weeks to Announcement

I expect one-way capping flows to be around US$1.36bn which is a turnover of approximately 20.5%. According to my estimates, currently there are 30...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

I expect the index changes to be confirmed after the close on 1st December 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF Rebalance Preview: In-The-Money; Turnover & Trade Remain High

The Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF may see 6 adds and 5 deletes in Dec, with a 1-way turnover of 19.5% and 1-way trade of US$1.39bn. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Among the Top 15 T100 potential DELs, six names are also TDIV members. If any of them get deleted from T100, they will also be deleted from TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 23: US$1.36bn One-Way, 20%+ Turnover, 2 Weeks to Announcement

I expect one-way capping flows to be around US$1.36bn which is a turnover of approximately 20.5%. According to my estimates, currently there are 30...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

I expect the index changes to be confirmed after the close on 1st December 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF Rebalance Preview: In-The-Money; Turnover & Trade Remain High

The Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF may see 6 adds and 5 deletes in Dec, with a 1-way turnover of 19.5% and 1-way trade of US$1.39bn. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Among the Top 15 T100 potential DELs, six names are also TDIV members. If any of them get deleted from T100, they will also be deleted from TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div Plus ETF Rebalance Preview: In-The-Money; Turnover & Trade Remain High

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point