Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Index Rebalance

<ul><li>Indices will be rebalanced at the end of the month on Thursday the 29th of February.</li><li>The three largest additions to the World Index measured by full company market capitalization will be Samsara A (USA), Corebridge Financial (USA) and Applovin Corp A (USA)</li><li>The three largest additions to the Emerging Markets Index measured by full company market capitalization will be Midea Group Co A (HK-C) (China), Punjab National Bank (India) and Union Bank Of India (India)</li></ul>

Indices will be rebalanced at the end of the month on Thursday the 29th of February.The three largest additions to the World Index measured by full company market capitalization will be Samsara A (USA), Corebridge Financial (USA) and Applovin Corp A (USA)The three largest additions to the Emerging Markets Index measured by full company market capitalization will be Midea Group Co A (HK-C) (China), Punjab National Bank (India) and Union Bank Of India (India)

FEB 2024 REBALANCE Index Changes Announced, SA Constituents to Remain the Same

Event-Driven

<ul><li>We do not expect any constituent changes for the following indices: Top 40, Top 40 SWIX, FINI, FINDI or INDI.</li><li>HAR is expected to enter the RESI and AMS is expected to fall out.</li><li>After much anticipation, ANG’s indicative free float came in at 75%, 21.9 percentage points lower than the current SWIX float of 96.8%.</li></ul>

We do not expect any constituent changes for the following indices: Top 40, Top 40 SWIX, FINI, FINDI or INDI.HAR is expected to enter the RESI and AMS is expected to fall out.After much anticipation, ANG’s indicative free float came in at 75%, 21.9 percentage points lower than the current SWIX float of 96.8%.

DMA ONE: JSE December ‘23 Rebalance Rankings

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since the close on Monday, both discounts have widened by over 2 percentage points <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a>.</li>
<li>Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ MV is back at 11.8% after reaching 10.4% on Monday. Naspers’ discount is trading at 46% and Prosus’ discount is trading at 40%.</li>
<li>The annual WisdomTree rebalance took place in the closing auction on Wednesday. Turnover on the JSE for the day was R20bn ($1.05bn), 1.12 times the 5-day average.</li>
</ul>


Since the close on Monday, both discounts have widened by over 2 percentage points Naspers (NPN SJ)Prosus NV (PRX NA).
Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ MV is back at 11.8% after reaching 10.4% on Monday. Naspers’ discount is trading at 46% and Prosus’ discount is trading at 40%.
The annual WisdomTree rebalance took place in the closing auction on Wednesday. Turnover on the JSE for the day was R20bn ($1.05bn), 1.12 times the 5-day average.


Naspers & Prosus: Discounts Widen as Market Sells off + WisdomTree Oct Rebalance Price Moves (JSE)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We identify stocks in the EMEA region that are filling the void created by Russia's removal from financial markets in 2022.</li>
<li>MENA stocks have benefitted from rotation, led by Saudi Aramco,  Emaar Properties and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saudi-basic-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27316:1" rel="noopener">Saudi Basic Industries</a>
</li>
<li>Outside of MENA, South Africa remains an important destination, whilst <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dino-polska-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27637:1" rel="noopener">Dino Polska SA (DNP PW)</a> and MOL are favoured in Eastern Europe</li>
</ul>


We identify stocks in the EMEA region that are filling the void created by Russia's removal from financial markets in 2022.
MENA stocks have benefitted from rotation, led by Saudi Aramco,  Emaar Properties and Saudi Basic Industries

Outside of MENA, South Africa remains an important destination, whilst Dino Polska SA (DNP PW) and MOL are favoured in Eastern Europe


South Africa

Woolworths Holdings Limited is a South African-based retail group. The Group, operates a chain of retail stores offering a selected range of clothing, food, homeware, beauty and financial services under its own brand name. The Company also owns a clothing and homeware retailer and has stores in selected African countries and the Middle East.

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Woolworths Holdings Ltd/South (WHL SJ)

FEB 2024 REBALANCE Index Changes Announced, SA Constituents to Remain the Same

Indices will be rebalanced at the end of the month on Thursday the 29th of February. The three largest additions to the World Index measured by...

DMA

DMA ONE: JSE December ‘23 Rebalance Rankings

The Week Ahead, NPN x PRX discount update post Tencent results, trading statements released after close yesterday. We do not expect any constituent...

DMA

Naspers & Prosus: Discounts Widen as Market Sells off + WisdomTree Oct Rebalance Price Moves (JSE)

Recap of how the discounts traded last week as well as price moves on the JSE at the WisdomTree rebalance (Wed, 18 Oct).

DMA

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

Replacing Russia: EMEA Stock Screening

We identify stocks in the EMEA region that are filling the void created by Russia's removal from financial markets in 2022.

Steven Holden

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