External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We initiate our coverage of XPeng with a Buy rating and target price of HK$110, which we derived by applying a P/S of 1.5x to our 2025-26 average sales per share estimate of HK$73.5.</li><li>Our target multiple reflects a 50% premium to the 2025-26F peer group average (1x), consistent with XPeng’s average premium over the past year.</li><li>The firm has delivered robust top-line growth since 2020, and we expect growth to remain strong through 2027. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We initiate our coverage of XPeng with a Buy rating and target price of HK$110, which we derived by applying a P/S of 1.5x to our 2025-26 average sales per share estimate of HK$73.5.Our target multiple reflects a 50% premium to the 2025-26F peer group average (1x), consistent with XPeng’s average premium over the past year.The firm has delivered robust top-line growth since 2020, and we expect growth to remain strong through 2027. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

XPeng (9868 HK/Buy)High Growth Coupled with Autonomous Driving Competitiveness

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Xpeng’s 4Q24 earnings were largely in line with a slight beat of GPM.</li><li>We raise our FY25-26E sales volume forecasts to 440,000 units and 600,000 units, respectively, given the current strong model cycle.</li><li>We estimate a quarterly breakeven sales volume of 130,000-140,000 units and therefore, we project a breakeven in 4Q25E and net profit of RMB1.2bn in FY26E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Xpeng’s 4Q24 earnings were largely in line with a slight beat of GPM.We raise our FY25-26E sales volume forecasts to 440,000 units and 600,000 units, respectively, given the current strong model cycle.We estimate a quarterly breakeven sales volume of 130,000-140,000 units and therefore, we project a breakeven in 4Q25E and net profit of RMB1.2bn in FY26E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US/9868 HK) - New Model Cycle + Overseas + AD + Robot

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

<ul><li>In this report, we summarize the Mar 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers.</li><li>Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts narrowed by 0.1ppts MoM in Mar 2025, based on our calculations, thanks to the narrowing discounts from some German brands (VW, Audi). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In this report, we summarize the Mar 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers.Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts narrowed by 0.1ppts MoM in Mar 2025, based on our calculations, thanks to the narrowing discounts from some German brands (VW, Audi). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

<ul><li>We are of the view that 4Q24 earnings of Geely, BYD and Li Auto could continue to be more resilient than most peers.</li><li>Net losses of Xpeng could narrow QoQ in 4Q24, while that of NIO may continue to widen QoQ, in our view.</li><li>Leapmotor turned profitable for the first time on a quarterly basis in 4Q24, stronger than most investors’ expectation. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We are of the view that 4Q24 earnings of Geely, BYD and Li Auto could continue to be more resilient than most peers.Net losses of Xpeng could narrow QoQ in 4Q24, while that of NIO may continue to widen QoQ, in our view.Leapmotor turned profitable for the first time on a quarterly basis in 4Q24, stronger than most investors’ expectation. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 4Q24 Earnings Preview: Growing Divergence

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

XPeng (9868 HK/Buy)High Growth Coupled with Autonomous Driving Competitiveness

We initiate our coverage of XPeng with a Buy rating and target price of HK$110, which we derived by applying a P/S of 1.5x to our 2025-26 average...

Mirae Asset Securities

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US/9868 HK) - New Model Cycle + Overseas + AD + Robot

We raise our FY25-26E sales volume forecasts to 440,000 units and 600,000 units, respectively, given the current strong model cycle.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.

CMB International

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

Auto - 4Q24 Earnings Preview: Growing Divergence

We are of the view that 4Q24 earnings of Geely, BYD and Li Auto could continue to be more resilient than most peers. Net losses of Xpeng could...

CMB International

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