IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

WM Motor Technology Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wm-motor-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29225:1" rel="noopener">WM Motor Technology Co Ltd (WMT CH)</a>, an EV manufacturer, has filed for a US$1 billion IPO on the HKEx. It recently raised US$595.7 million at a US$7 billion valuation.</li>
<li>In line with industry trends and listed Chinese peers, WM Motor rapidly grew its vehicle deliveries in 2021. Price increases and a good roadmap support future growth. </li>
<li>WM Motor is sub-scale vs peers pointing to an uncertain path to profitability. As the era of being rewarded for growth at any cost is over, the timing feels off.</li>
</ul>



WM Motor Technology Co Ltd (WMT CH), an EV manufacturer, has filed for a US$1 billion IPO on the HKEx. It recently raised US$595.7 million at a US$7 billion valuation.
In line with industry trends and listed Chinese peers, WM Motor rapidly grew its vehicle deliveries in 2021. Price increases and a good roadmap support future growth. 
WM Motor is sub-scale vs peers pointing to an uncertain path to profitability. As the era of being rewarded for growth at any cost is over, the timing feels off.


WM Motor IPO Initiation: Electric Jitters

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (May): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products. 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


CALB Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Growing Fast

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the close on 10 June replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to buy over 9 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> while selling 11 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a>'s inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> could create significant arb opportunities versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (NIO US)</a> on 10 June.</li>
</ul>


As expected, NIO Inc (9866 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the close on 10 June replacing ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK).
We estimate passive trackers will need to buy over 9 days of ADV on NIO Inc (9866 HK) while selling 11 days of ADV on ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK). 

NIO Inc (9866 HK)'s inclusion in the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) could create significant arb opportunities versus NIO Inc (NIO US) on 10 June.


Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance: NIO (9866 HK) To Replace ASM Pacific (522 HK)

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>It focuses on the mid- to high-end segment in China’s NEV market with a price range of RMB150,000-300,000. As of end FY21, it had delivered a total of 52,832 cars.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
It focuses on the mid- to high-end segment in China’s NEV market with a price range of RMB150,000-300,000. As of end FY21, it had delivered a total of 52,832 cars.
In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Leapmotor Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Related Party Sanctions, Lags Peers

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

WM Motor IPO Initiation: Electric Jitters

WM Motor has filed for a US$1 billion IPO on the HKEx. The IPO is an AVOID due to an uncertain path to profitability and the end of the era of...

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (May): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent

Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CALB Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Growing Fast

CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO to ramp-up its battery production. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance: NIO (9866 HK) To Replace ASM Pacific (522 HK)

NIO will replace ASM Pacific in the HSTECH at the close on 10 June. There are large shorts on ASM that could look to cover vs the passives. NIO's...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

WM Motor IPO Initiation: Electric Jitters

WM Motor has filed for a US$1 billion IPO on the HKEx. The IPO is an AVOID due to an uncertain path to profitability and the end of the era of...

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (May): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent

Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CALB Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Growing Fast

CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO to ramp-up its battery production. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance: NIO (9866 HK) To Replace ASM Pacific (522 HK)

NIO will replace ASM Pacific in the HSTECH at the close on 10 June. There are large shorts on ASM that could look to cover vs the passives. NIO's...

Brian Freitas

Leapmotor Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Related Party Sanctions, Lags Peers

Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh