IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhihu Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu Technology (ZH US)</a> has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200 million. The H Shares will be priced on 14 April and listed on 22 April.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zhihu-dual-primary-listing-a-question-of-judgment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:68266" rel="noopener">Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: A Question of Judgment</a>, we stated that while a loss-making tech name is not everybody's cup of tea, Zhihu has resilient performance and an undemanding valuation.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.</li>
</ul>



Zhihu Technology (ZH US) has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200 million. The H Shares will be priced on 14 April and listed on 22 April.
In Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: A Question of Judgment, we stated that while a loss-making tech name is not everybody's cup of tea, Zhihu has resilient performance and an undemanding valuation.  
In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.


Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Nickel has captured much of the limelight among battery metals in recent weeks, and understandably so</li><li>Even so, it’s another metal that’s been causing concern in the world’s largest electric vehicle market. </li><li>China’s government last month hauled in a whole range of market players for two days of talks focused on halting a breakneck run-up in lithium, the metal that’s vital for almost all rechargeable batteries and critical to the roll-out of emissions-free cars and clean energy</li></ul>

Nickel has captured much of the limelight among battery metals in recent weeks, and understandably soEven so, it’s another metal that’s been causing concern in the world’s largest electric vehicle market. China’s government last month hauled in a whole range of market players for two days of talks focused on halting a breakneck run-up in lithium, the metal that’s vital for almost all rechargeable batteries and critical to the roll-out of emissions-free cars and clean energy

The Battery Metal Really Worrying China Is Lithium, Not Nickel

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.</li>
<li>On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) had added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under HFCAA, which set the clock ticking for their delisting.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.</li>
</ul>


On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.
On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) had added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under HFCAA, which set the clock ticking for their delisting.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning with CSRC Showing Signs of a Compromise

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> passes the velocity test and could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Given the low trading volumes and the large assets tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a>, passive trackers will need to buy around 10 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers need to sell around 7 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>. Given implementation is two months away, sell the stock on rallies. </li>
</ul>



NIO Inc (9866 HK) passes the velocity test and could replace ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) in the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Given the low trading volumes and the large assets tracking the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX), passive trackers will need to buy around 10 days of ADV on NIO. 
Passive trackers need to sell around 7 days of ADV on ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK). Given implementation is two months away, sell the stock on rallies. 


Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact as NIO (9866) Could Replace ASM Pacific (522)

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The US just expanded travel bans against Chinese officials said to be repressing ethnic and religious minorities. </li>
<li>The timing, a few days after a Biden-Xi call on Russia that appeared to achieve little of substance is telling. </li>
<li>Noises out of the UK have been similarly aggressive here and the question now is how Europe responds.</li>
</ul>


The US just expanded travel bans against Chinese officials said to be repressing ethnic and religious minorities. 
The timing, a few days after a Biden-Xi call on Russia that appeared to achieve little of substance is telling. 
Noises out of the UK have been similarly aggressive here and the question now is how Europe responds.


US Expansion of Travel Bans the First Step in Broader Escalation?

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be...

Arun George

The Battery Metal Really Worrying China Is Lithium, Not Nickel

Nickel has captured much of the limelight among battery metals in recent weeks, and understandably so. Even so, it’s another metal that’s been...

Caixin Global

China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning with CSRC Showing Signs of a Compromise

On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact as NIO (9866) Could Replace ASM Pacific (522)

NIO (9866) could replace ASM Pacific (522) in the HSTECH at the June rebal. Passive trackers will need to buy 10 days of ADV on NIO while selling 7...

Brian Freitas

US Expansion of Travel Bans the First Step in Broader Escalation?

The US just expanded travel bans against Chinese officials and while the move seems relatively minor on its own we wonder if this is the first step...

Mio Kato

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be...

Arun George

The Battery Metal Really Worrying China Is Lithium, Not Nickel

Nickel has captured much of the limelight among battery metals in recent weeks, and understandably so. Even so, it’s another metal that’s been...

Caixin Global

China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning with CSRC Showing Signs of a Compromise

On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact as NIO (9866) Could Replace ASM Pacific (522)

NIO (9866) could replace ASM Pacific (522) in the HSTECH at the June rebal. Passive trackers will need to buy 10 days of ADV on NIO while selling 7...

Brian Freitas

US Expansion of Travel Bans the First Step in Broader Escalation?

The US just expanded travel bans against Chinese officials and while the move seems relatively minor on its own we wonder if this is the first step...

Mio Kato

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views