Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Merchants Expressway Net / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance is complete and we expect 11 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.4% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.82bn (US$1.22bn). There are a lot of stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The potential deletes have bounced off their lows as the market has recovered. But the potential passive selling could see them underperform over the next month.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance is complete and we expect 11 changes to the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX). 
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.4% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.82bn (US$1.22bn). There are a lot of stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
The potential deletes have bounced off their lows as the market has recovered. But the potential passive selling could see them underperform over the next month.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Bounce in the Potential Deletes Could Be Short Lived

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A / Index Rebalance

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A

<ul>
<li>With 85% of the review period complete, we see 11 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.2% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.3bn (US$1bn). There are a lot of stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes despite large flows from the National Team into ETFs tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>. That support for the potential deletes will reverse.</li>
</ul>


With 85% of the review period complete, we see 11 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) in June.
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.2% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.3bn (US$1bn). There are a lot of stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes despite large flows from the National Team into ETFs tracking the CSI 300 Index. That support for the potential deletes will reverse.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Despite ETF Inflows

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Xinjiang Tianshan Cement A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.</li>
<li>I currently see 11 changes for the CSI 300 index and 50 changes for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
I currently see 11 changes for the CSI 300 index and 50 changes for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

Founder, Supreme Peoples Court Monitor

Susan Finder

Founder

Supreme Peoples Court Monitor

Shenji Group Kunming Mach Tool Co Ltd / ESG

China's securities regulatory authority, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) <a href="http://www.csrc.gov.cn/pub/newsite/jcj/aqfb/201702/t20170227_312735.html" target="_blank">issued</a> a set of typical "inspection of illegality" cases in late February, part of its campaign against stock market "crocodiles" (explained <a href="http://www.scmp.com/news/china/economy/article/2074366/why-beijing-declaring-war-stock-market-crocodiles-now" target="_blank">here</a>). The Chinese authorities (Party, government, courts, prosecutors) have a long history in using "typical/model cases" to educate a certain audience, but (as I have <a href="https://cpianalysis.org/2014/04/07/using-model-cases-to-guide-the-chinese-courts/" target="_blank">written previously</a>) the audience and content of the instruction depends on the type of case. Model…

China's securities regulatory authority, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued a set of typical "inspection of illegality" cases in late February, part of its campaign against stock market "crocodiles" (explained here). The Chinese authorities (Party, government, courts, prosecutors) have a long history in using "typical/model cases" to educate a certain audience, but (as I have written previously) the audience and content of the instruction depends on the type of case. Model…

China's Securities Regulatory Authority Issues "Typical Inspection of Illegality" Cases

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

China

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd. is an investment holding company.  The Company operates in real estate development, hotel management, and merchandise retail.  Commodities City Group also provides exhibition and advertising services.

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co (600415 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co (600415 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Bounce in the Potential Deletes Could Be Short Lived

There could be 11 changes for the CSI300 in June with multiple days of ADV to trade on most names. The potential deletes have bounced recently but...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Despite ETF Inflows

The adds have outperformed the deleted by over 10% in the last month. Coming up to the end of the review period, there could be further positioning.

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

There could be one-way index flows of US$2.5bn collectively for the CSI 300 index and CSI 500 index in June 2024. The CSI 300 Direct DELs could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China's Securities Regulatory Authority Issues "Typical Inspection of Illegality" Cases

China's securities regulatory authority, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued a set of typical "inspection of illegality"...

Susan Finder

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Bounce in the Potential Deletes Could Be Short Lived

There could be 11 changes for the CSI300 in June with multiple days of ADV to trade on most names. The potential deletes have bounced recently but...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Despite ETF Inflows

The adds have outperformed the deleted by over 10% in the last month. Coming up to the end of the review period, there could be further positioning.

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

There could be one-way index flows of US$2.5bn collectively for the CSI 300 index and CSI 500 index in June 2024. The CSI 300 Direct DELs could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China's Securities Regulatory Authority Issues "Typical Inspection of Illegality" Cases

China's securities regulatory authority, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued a set of typical "inspection of illegality"...

Susan Finder

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual...

Robert Ciemniak

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index