Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today's report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today's report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-2017-forecast-summary" target="_blank">strong property sales volumes</a>) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite strong property sales volumes) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look at house prices, sales volumes, inventory clearing, land sales, construction indicators, policy and other factors.  Adapted from the presentation on ChinaDebate on Feb 2.

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look at house prices, sales volumes, inventory clearing, land sales, construction indicators, policy and other factors.  Adapted from the presentation on ChinaDebate on Feb 2.

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the new data on house price indices (new home sales) for 70 cities in China. New data shows a gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.4% in December to +12.2% in January, with the month-on-month growth still up +0.2% but slower than +0.3% in December. The biggest month-on-month changes were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-a-turning-point-for-the-sunny-sanya-and-hainan-island" target="_blank">Sanya (+1.7%)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-the-case-of-chongqing" target="_blank">Chongqing (+1.3%)</a> among the risers, incidentally the two cities we have recently…

China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the new data on house price indices (new home sales) for 70 cities in China. New data shows a gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.4% in December to +12.2% in January, with the month-on-month growth still up +0.2% but slower than +0.3% in December. The biggest month-on-month changes were in Sanya (+1.7%) and Chongqing (+1.3%) among the risers, incidentally the two cities we have recently…

China Property: Cooling Signs In Official NBS House Price Data For January; Sanya and Chongqing Up

China

Zhejiang China Light & Textile Industrial City Group Co., Ltd. operates, leases, and manages a market which sells textile products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also dyes textile products, produces wines, manufactures building materials, develops real estate, and provides information technology services.

Zhejiang China Light &Textile Industrial (600790 CH)

Zhejiang China Light &Textile Industrial (600790 CH)

EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance....

Vermilion Research

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Cooling Signs In Official NBS House Price Data For January; Sanya and Chongqing Up

China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the new data on house price indices (new home sales) for 70 cities in China. New data...

Robert Ciemniak