Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Guotai Junan Securities   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the December rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 2.9% and the round-trip trade is around US$1.6bn.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount of balance between sectors with Consumer Discretionary and Health Care expected to lose index spots to Industrials, Information Technology and Materials.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June-September but have given up gains since then. Position in stocks that will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
</ul>


There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the December rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 2.9% and the round-trip trade is around US$1.6bn.
There is a fair amount of balance between sectors with Consumer Discretionary and Health Care expected to lose index spots to Industrials, Information Technology and Materials.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June-September but have given up gains since then. Position in stocks that will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices.


CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Changes to Lead to US$1.6bn Trade

Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology / Index Rebalance

Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology

<ul>
<li>There could be 18 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the June rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 1.7% and the round-trip trade is around US$1bn.</li>
<li>The index was launched in September 2024, and the passive trackers have taken in a chunk of money since then. The flows to the stocks add to other index flows.</li>
<li>A long add/short deletes trade has been stable over the last few months. The forecast adds could outperform following announcement of the index changes on Friday.</li>
</ul>


There could be 18 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the June rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 1.7% and the round-trip trade is around US$1bn.
The index was launched in September 2024, and the passive trackers have taken in a chunk of money since then. The flows to the stocks add to other index flows.
A long add/short deletes trade has been stable over the last few months. The forecast adds could outperform following announcement of the index changes on Friday.


CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Many Changes Expected; US$1bn Trade

Jiangxi Special Electric Motor A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

China

Zhejiang Shangfeng Industrial Holdings Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a variety of ventilation and refrigeration equipment.  The Company's products include axial fans, mixed flow blowers, centrifugal blowers, as well as air-cooled and water-cooled refrigeration equipment.

Zhejiang Shangfeng Industrial (000967 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Zhejiang Shangfeng Industrial (000967 CH)

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Changes to Lead to US$1.6bn Trade

There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the Dec rebal. Estimated turnover is 2.9% and round-trip trade is US$1.6bn. Adds outperformed...

Brian Freitas

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Many Changes Expected; US$1bn Trade

We identify 18 potential changes for the CSI A500 Index. The index was launched in Sep 24 and has taken in a lot of AUM very quickly. The flows to...

Brian Freitas

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

We forecast 50 changes a side at the June rebal leading to a one-way turnover of 11.47% & in a one-way trade of CNY 10bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)