Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Nearly 25 years of experience in analyzing hundreds of companies, especially in Asia. Deep expertise in the following sectors:
- Technology (E-commerce, SaaS, Internet)
- Consumer 
- Special Situations/Deep Value Plays
- Holdcos/Stubs
- Asian Unicorns/Private Companies

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Hanjin Kal: Why Is Cho Hyun-Ah Selling A Partial Stake?

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 52 Stocks in Korea in December 2021

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 44 Stocks in Korea in February 2022

KCGI Goes Activist on Hanjin Kal Corp & Our NAV Analysis of Hanjin Kal

Korean Air + Asiana Airlines - Is This Becoming Another KEPCO?

Korea's FTC Requires Delivery Hero to Sell Yogiyo In Order to Acquire Woowa Brothers

Korean Air - A 1 Trillion Won Rights Offering at 31% Discount

Event-Driven

In this insight, we discuss the impact of a potential big selling in the shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanjin-kal-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19086:1" rel="noopener">Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS)</a>, the holding company of Korean Air and the Hanjin Group. The lock-up period of 46.7% of shares of Hanjin Kal ends towards the end of this month. That is a lot of shares! The 46.7% of the shares of Hanjin Kal are related to the KCGI consortium including KCGI, Bando Construction, and Cho Hyun-Ah.One of the likely scenarios of the changing shareholdings of Hanjin Kal post the additional capital injection by KDB is for<a href="http://news.heraldcorp.com/view.php?ud=20201118000257" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> KDB's stake</a> to increase from 0% to 10.7%, KCGI consortium stake to decline from 46.7% to 41.7%, and Chairman Cho and related parties' stake to decline from 41.1% to 37.7%. Investors are pushing down the share price of Hanjin Kal as many of them now believe an M&amp;A fight between the KCGI consortium and Chairman Cho/related parties is less likely.Our base case NAV analysis suggests a base price of 39,830 won for Hanjin Kal shares, down 41% from the current price.

In this insight, we discuss the impact of a potential big selling in the shares of Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS), the holding company of Korean Air and the Hanjin Group. The lock-up period of 46.7% of shares of Hanjin Kal ends towards the end of this month. That is a lot of shares! The 46.7% of the shares of Hanjin Kal are related to the KCGI consortium including KCGI, Bando Construction, and Cho Hyun-Ah.One of the likely scenarios of the changing shareholdings of Hanjin Kal post the additional capital injection by KDB is for KDB's stake to increase from 0% to 10.7%, KCGI consortium stake to decline from 46.7% to 41.7%, and Chairman Cho and related parties' stake to decline from 41.1% to 37.7%. Investors are pushing down the share price of Hanjin Kal as many of them now believe an M&amp;A fight between the KCGI consortium and Chairman Cho/related parties is less likely.Our base case NAV analysis suggests a base price of 39,830 won for Hanjin Kal shares, down 41% from the current price.

A Big Potential Selling in Hanjin Kal Once Lock-Up Period Ends & The Collapse of Warrant Price