Worries on US rate cuts, AI capex monetization, CN growth & Yen carry trade unwind drove a correction. Rich valns justifiably correcting. But US & Asia rates to remain benign. EPS est reviving too.
What is covered in the Full Insight:
Introduction
Factors Affecting Asian and US Markets
Interest Rate Trajectory and Inflation
Corporate Earnings Outlook
Conclusion and Market Outlook
Boomeranged on Thu, 27 Nov 2025 10:49
Markets bottomed out over 20-24 Nov. Since then S&P500 is up 5.2%, HSI is up 3.2% & KOSPI is up 4.2%. Predictably, the USD (DXY) is down c1%. The decisive driver is the chance of a Fed rate cut in Dec. CME Fedwatch says the probability is 84.7% now; on Nov 19th it was 30.1%. Relentless EPS estimate upgrades continue – more so in the US, but selectively in Asia also. It was a healthy correction.