Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

Bilibili (9626): 2Q23, Cut Losses and Raised Growth, Upgrade to Buy

China Internet Weekly (27Mar2023): Douyin, Bilibili, Tencent, NetEase, JD Health, Zhihu

Bilibili (9626 HK): 4Q22, Not Really Weak Quarter, But Transition for Dropping Games

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BILI’s revenue grew by zero YoY in 1Q22, but operating losses shrank significantly.</li>
<li>The company reduced the subsidies to video uploaders, so that uploaders have been leaving the app.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 13% for yearend 2023. Downgrade to Hold.</li>
</ul>


BILI’s revenue grew by zero YoY in 1Q22, but operating losses shrank significantly.
The company reduced the subsidies to video uploaders, so that uploaders have been leaving the app.
We believe the stock has an upside of 13% for yearend 2023. Downgrade to Hold.


Blibili (9626 HK): 1Q23, Consequence of Subsidy Cut, Downgrade to Hold