bullish

CHINA: When Will Stocks Catch Up With Surging Debt Markets?

1.6k Views26 Jun 2024 07:40
Boomeranged on Sat, 27 Jul 2024 07:30
The PBOC cut the 1YR MLF rate and 7 day Reverse Rep (the new benchmark rate) while commercial banks cut their 1 year and 5 year LPR's. Concurrently China's 5 largest state-owned banks said they would cut deposit rates between 5-20bps. Yesterday's 10 CGB yield fell to a record low of 2.17%. The stronger JPY and weaker dollar have allowed more room for easing as the CNY strengthened this week.
SUMMARY
  • China's debt markets are experiencing an historic bull cycle as government and companies take advantage by ramping up issuances this year.
  • Beijing will use its healthy balance sheet and continued debt issuance to clean up local government debt and simultaneously address the property sector problems.
  • China's healthy external position will provide continued support for its currency and debt markets with equity markets to follow in the coming months.
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